Friday January 9
A large and complex storm map this morning demonstrates the rain on the way, and we need it. There has been a dominant deficit of precipitation in the Eastern US over the past decade. The most recent 5 years have us running a deficit equal to about 1/2 year of expected rainfall. This has also been reflected in below average winter snow.
Our expectation of close to 1 inch of rain is welcome, but still not nearly enough for groundwater systems.
One other point with this weather system that is important: The warm air expectation has shifted south and NOT fully into our region. Instead of the 60s, many may struggle to get to 50F tomorrow. That demonstrates the difficulty computer guidance has in showing imperfection.
Most of this winter, I have seen the colder air be more prevalent, which may be a valuable feature to keep in mind as the winter weather pattern returns.
This rain will come in two parts. 1) Rain showers develop this afternoon to evening. 2) Steadier rain develops Saturday morning and will be both steady and heavy at times during the afternoon. This will be followed by colder winds and then a shift to a more winter-like pattern next week.
For Baltimore and the Mid-Atlantic: Dry this morning, but rain is on the way! A two-part storm system will bring rain to the region today and tomorrow.
The two-part storm system will bring us the first wave of rain showers today, followed by heavier rain on Saturday. This will be the result of the severe storms and flooding in the Deep South.
Most important: The orientation shifts the warm air farther south. So we will NOT get into the 60s again this time.
WESTERN MARYLAND
This webcam is positioned at The Greene Turtle Deep Creek Lake and shows Wisp Resort, including a zoomed-in view of Squirrel Cage, The Face, the terrain park, Boulder, the mountain coaster, the tubing park and a shot of McHenry Cove at Deep Creek Lake!
Yesterday: Low 29°F; High 56°F
Precipitation: 0.00″
Season Snow Total: 2.0″
Snow Depth: 0″
Top Wind Gust: 16 mph
Sunrise at 7:26 AM
Sunset at 5:02 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 26ºF
Record Low: 2ºF in 1970
Normal High in Baltimore: 43ºF
Record High: 75ºF in 1937
Rainfall Deficit at BWI
This will be our rainy day… developing in the morning, then steady and heavy at times in the afternoon.
Colder winds will follow on Sunday.
This is from a blend of global models
A large swath of over 1 inch along the heavily populated I-95 corridor.
The first of several cold impulses of cold air will be pushing back into the Eastern US.
Here comes winter with a few impulses of colder and unsettled air. The deep trough in the jet stream is a signal of energy and POTENTIAL storm development. This pattern has high confidence. The specifics at the surface with a particular storm set up are less certain this far out.
This DEEP TROUGH is a strong signal of well below average temperatures into the Gulf Coast, and may help develop a new storm with winter weather.
While in the midst of a colder pattern, we will watch for more energy to attempt snow production.
Rain is guaranteed on Saturday, then it will cool down! And that Thursday system could be interesting with rain/snow potential — worth watching.
Friday: PM showers (80%). High 54°F.
Saturday: Rainy (100%). High 49°F, Low 47°F.
Sunday: Windy and cooler (30% showers). High 45°F, Low 39°F.
Monday: Mostly sunny. High 43°F, Low 28°F.
Tuesday: Sunny. High 48°F, Low 29°F.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy. High 48°F, Low 36°F.
Thursday: Rain/Snow? (40%). High 38°F, Low 31°F.
Subscribe for email Alerts
Sign up and be the first to know!
In case you missed it, click this image for brief summary of the final snow totals from the last event.
In case you missed it, click this image for brief summary of the final snow totals from the last event.
Click here for the full report
This was issued October 9, as expected: A weak and short-lived event to start winter may play a different role this winter.
These are NOT all the same caterpillar!
Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school
The annual event: Hiking and biking 329 miles in 7 days between The Summit of Wisp to Ocean City.
Each day, we honor a kid and their family’s cancer journey.
Fundraising is for Just In Power Kids: Funding Free Holistic Programs. I never have and never will take a penny. It is all for our nonprofit to operate.
Click here or the image to donate:
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I can also make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF
