Thursday January 8
Yesterday, we saw a display of what has been quite common in winter. When we get a warm-up, it tends to be warmer than expected. Baltimore jumped to 62°F at BWI in the afternoon. Today, a wind shift will keep us mild, but almost 10 degrees cooler.
We start again with some areas of fog, then mostly sunny with a new round of clouds ahead of a two-part storm system.
Our rainfall deficit is still a dominant long-term trend. Rain developing Friday will be steadier later in the day, followed by heavier rain on Saturday. Totals may reach 1 inch in many areas.
After that passes, a return to seasonal temperatures will follow to start next week.
For Baltimore and the Mid-Atlantic: Patchy fog again this morning, but we remain in the warm and mild air. The January Thaw continues, but change is on the way.
The two-part storm system will include the potential for severe weather in the Deep South. That is what will feed heavier rain into our region on Saturday, followed by the return to seasonal temperatures. Snow showers will fall in the mountains on Sunday.
The risk of severe thunderstorms is a display of the energy of the storm, and why heavier rain will come our way on Saturday.
WESTERN MARYLAND
This webcam is positioned at The Greene Turtle Deep Creek Lake and shows Wisp Resort, including a zoomed-in view of Squirrel Cage, The Face, the terrain park, Boulder, the mountain coaster, the tubing park and a shot of McHenry Cove at Deep Creek Lake!
Yesterday: Low 30°F; High 62°F
Precipitation: 0.00″
Season Snow Total: 2.0″
Snow Depth: 0″
Top Wind Gust: 38 mph
Sunrise at 7:26 AM
Sunset at 5:01 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 26ºF
Record Low: 4ºF in 1970
Normal High in Baltimore: 43ºF
Record High: 70ºF in 2008
Rainfall Deficit at BWI
When I say we need rain, this is why: Over just the last 4 years, we can see 2022 and 2023 balancing each other out. But the past two years have left the region with 16.91 inches BELOW AVERAGE rainfall. That cumulative effect is most noticeable in the deep ground/well water system.
A cloudy day with light rain showers developing midday, then heavier rain later in the afternoon into the evening and overnight.
The heaviest rain may fall around dinner time or when heading out for evening plans.
The second storm will bring in more rain reaching our region Saturday, followed by the return of colder air on Sunday with snow showers in the high mountains. Some flurries may reach the inland suburban hills later Sunday afternoon.
The heaviest rain in this two-part system is expected at this time.
Rain will be exiting the coast.
Colder air and snow showers will return to the mountains.
Gusty winds bring in cooler air to metro areas. Some flurries are possible in the inland hills.
This is from a blend of global models.
A large swath of over 1 inch along the heavily populated I-95 corridor.
January Thaw peaks again Friday and Saturday with highs near 60°F and needed rain — then winter returns Sunday with wind and colder temps!
Thursday: Fog to sun, then late clouds. High 52°F.
Friday: Showers, late rain (80%). High 58°F, Low 38°F.
Saturday: Rainy (90%). High 60°F, Low 49°F.
Sunday: Windy and colder. High 51°F, Low 43°F.
Monday: Seasonal. High 42°F, Low 29°F.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High 45°F, Low 29°F.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with showers (30%). High 42°F, Low 32°F.
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In case you missed it, click this image for brief summary of the final snow totals from the last event.
In case you missed it, click this image for brief summary of the final snow totals from the last event.
Click here for the full report
This was issued October 9, as expected: A weak and short-lived event to start winter may play a different role this winter.
These are NOT all the same caterpillar!
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I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I can also make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF
