November 15 Sprinkles Then Rain Tonight With Brief Warm Up An Colder Winds Sunday
Saturday, November 15 2025
A quick-moving clipper-type storm will affect our weekend. Clouds today may produce some sprinkles, then expect rain after dark. A brief warm-up will peak overnight, then temps will fall all day on Sunday as the system races away.
The next event will pass south with showers Tuesday and Wednesday as we hold onto the chill.
A warm-up and pattern change is expected by the end of the week to last through Thanksgiving. The long-range pattern looks warm for the holiday, followed by a pattern change and a winter setup that could make for a busy December.
WEATHER TODAY
Surface Weather
Clouds along a warm front that may produce some sprinkles. Rain will race in tonight as the storm passes quickly to our north and drags in colder air from the Northern Plains on Sunday.

Storm Forecast Saturday Morning
This quick-moving pattern will bring in rain after dark and pump in warmer air overnight.
The rain will be done by sunrise, but so will the warm air. Colder winds will flow in all day as temperatures drop through the afternoon.

Live Radar Widget
Sprinkles today may not show on radar.
Rain is more likely after dark and overnight.
FORECAST TODAY
Afternoon Temperatures

Radar Simulation 3 PM to Midnight

CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore
Yesterday: Low 30F; High 56F
Precipitation: 0.00”
TODAY November 15
Sunrise at 6:50 AM
Sunset at 4:52 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 37ºF
Record 19ºF in 1986
Normal High in Baltimore: 58ºF
Record 79ºF 1993
Rainfall Deficit at BWI
- Ending 2024 = -8.00”
- Since Jan 1 = 6.22”
- We are STILL DOWN -14.22” INCLUDING LAST YEAR
Drought Monitor

My Winter Outlook For Above-Average Snow
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SUNDAY
Morning Temperatures
The high for the day will be before sunrise. Temps begin to fall in the morning, and strong winds will bring colder air in through the afternoon.

Wind Forecast: 7 AM to 7 PM
Strong winds will increase through the day.

Afternoon Winds:
Gusts 30 to 40 mph,

Afternoon Temperatures

Storm Forecast: Monday to Wednesday
A weak system will pass to our south. This may tap into leftover colder air and mix a flake or two with some light rain.
After this passes, a warm-up will begin by the end of the work week.

Looking Ahead: Thanksgiving to December
This is a general overview of the long-range pattern. Specifics are vague, which is why I do not believe in showing snow maps for next month. You can find them somewhere else, but I think they are misleading.
The overall jet stream AND temperature can be seen with the trend of above and below average. That is what I see here in response to the Stratospheric Warming Event I mentioned:
- Thanksgiving: A ridge of High Pressure will bring warm air across the Eastern US as the colder air begins to show in the Pacific Northwest.


- December Week 1: Colder (Than Average) Air Begins To Spread East

- December Week 2: Colder (Than Average) Air Expands Across the Northern And Eastern US

7 Day Forecast
- Today: Sprinkles, Rain Tonight
- Sunday: Warmest BEFORE Sunrise, Colder Winds
- Mid-Week: Chilly With Showers.
- Friday: Begins the Warm Up into next weekend and Thanksgiving

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Average First Frost
La Niña Advisory
This was issued October 9, as expected: A weak and short-lived event to start winter may play a different role this winter
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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I can also make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF
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