October 4 Nearly Perfect Weekend Weather Then Storms Late Tuesday Bring Next Cool Down
Saturday, October 4 2025
We are turning the corner from the recent cool down and are now on the upswing on the thermometers. Some areas may hit 80°F this weekend, and definitely by early in the work week. This all comes with light winds and sunshine.
We are VERY DRY back in a 4-inch hole for rainfall this year. As leaves turn and fall, we may start to get fire restrictions put back into place.
Our next chance for storms will be later on Tuesday.
The tropics are quieting down, and the outlook is minimal at best.
TROPICAL WEATHER
National Hurricane Center Outlook
If you are hearing about ‘two potential storms’ in the Atlantic, this is the latest look for the next 7 days!
It’s not that impressive!
Only a 10% chance near Florida, however, this low-pressure system may bring tropical rain to The Bahamas, South Florida, and perhaps up to South Carolina in the next few days.
The Atlantic Look is up to 50% and follows the last few storms. The climatology of this region for this time of year would support staying out to sea.
Local Weather Look
In Case You Missed It:
Leaf Peeping Across the Mid-Atlantic
This includes Natural Resource Reports from Pennsylvania, Maryland, and Virginia.
SATURDAY WEATHER
Morning Temperatures
Surface Weather
High Pressure keeps us sunny and dry. The light wind shift will allow for a warm-up over the next few days.
The return flow from the ocean will feed more clouds and rain for the Southeast US.
CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore
Yesterday: Low 48F; High 72F
Precipitation: 0.00”
TODAY October 4
Sunrise at 7:06 AM
Sunset at 6:44 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 51ºF
Record 31ºF in 1974
Normal High in Baltimore: 73ºF
Record 92ºF 1954
Rainfall Deficit at BWI
- Ending 2024 = -8.00”
- Since Jan 1 = 4.35”
- We are STILL DOWN -12.35” INCLUDING LAST YEAR
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Wind Forecast 8 AM to 8 PM
Very light breeze with sunshine.
High Temperatures
SUNDAY
Morning Temperatures
Wind Forecast 8 AM to 8 PM
Afternoon Snapshot
Warm light breeze from the South. However, the Southeast component to the south will be cooler.
Afternoon Temperatures
Looking Ahead: Forecast Monday to Wednesday
High Pressure remains in control, and the winds swing back to pump in late summer heat.
The next cold front will bring a chance for thunderstorms late Tuesday into Wednesday morning. This will be followed by the next chilly air mass.
Snapshots
Tuesday Evening
Showers and Thunderstorms approach from the Great Lakes and the Ohio Valley.
Wednesday Morning
Showers and leftover Thunderstorms pass through.
Wednesday Afternoon
High Pressure builds in with cooler winds.
7 Day Forecast
- Nearly Perfect Weekend
- Next Chance Of Storms Late Tuesday
- Chilly End To Next Week
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In Case You Missed It
I posted a report earlier about The La Niña Watch. This is expected to be brief and trend back to neutral, which could result in an active and snowy winter.
Take A Look…
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The annual event: Hiking and biking 329 miles in 7 days between The Summit of Wisp to Ocean City.
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Fundraising is for Just In Power Kids: Funding Free Holistic Programs. I never have and never will take a penny. It is all for our nonprofit to operate.
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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I can also make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF
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