Afternoon Storm Risk Leads Into Wet Weather Pattern With Tropical Storm Off The Coast
Thursday Afternoon, September 25 2025 We are about to get wet and make up for the second wave drought that has been growing. A cold front will help develop a…
September 26 Sun Returns Then Focus On Hurricanes Humberto And Imelda Forecast For The Coast
Maryland Weather
climate data
National Hurricane Center
Forecast
Tropics
Friday, September 26, 2025
The cold front that brought rain yesterday is still located across Maryland. Fog will be an issue across metro areas and inland hills for the morning commute. Moderate rain starts the day across lower Delmarva and the beaches. See the radar below.
This front will slide southward, allowing some dry air and sun today. But it will help bring back more rain this weekend.
Humberto is now a Category 1 hurricane with 75 mph winds.
Invest 94L has a 90% chance to form and be named Imelda this weekend. This will be the main focus for weather on the East Coast next week. The European Model led the way ahead of tropical models with the push inland. Now with new information, it stalls the storm off the South Carolina Coast, THEN moves it inland.
If you have plans this weekend for the Seagull Century or Ocean’s Calling Music Festival between Salisbury and Ocean City, I am leaning towards a dry start, then turning wet later Saturday into Sunday.
Let’s take a look.
WEATHER TODAY
Surface Weather
A cold front is still located across Maryland.
Fog in metro areas and inland hills.
Moderate rain starts the day across lower Delmarva and the beaches.
This front will slide southward, allowing some dry air and sun today. This front will help bring back more rain this weekend.
Humberto is a Category 1 hurricane.
Invest 94L now has a 90% chance to form and be named Imelda this weekend. This will be the main focus for the weather on the East Coast next week.
Live Radar Widget
Forecast Radar: Noon to Midnight
Morning rain on the Lower Eastern Shore should diminish to scattered showers. Inland across metro areas and the mountains should turn sunny.
High Temperatures
CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore
Yesterday: Low 69F; High 82F
Precipitation: 0.35”
TODAY September 26
Sunrise at 6:58 AM
Sunset at 6:58 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 55ºF
Record 40ºF in 1879
Normal High in Baltimore: 76ºF
Record 95ºF 1970
Rainfall Deficit at BWI
- Ending 2024 = -8.00”
- Since Jan 1 = 3.20”
- We are STILL DOWN -11.20” INCLUDING LAST YEAR
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SATURDAY
A lot of attention for The Lower Eastern Shore.
Cycling: The 100-mile Seagull Century is between Salisbury and Assateague Island. Temps will range from 68°F to 73°F. Winds will be light.
There may be drizzle or a light rain shower. There is a better chance of rain showers during the afternoon.
Oceans Calling Music Festival in Ocean City: Plan for mist/drizzle. The better chance for rain will be mid-afternoon Saturday into Sunday.
Morning Temperatures
Afternoon Temperatures
Wind Forecast
Radar Simulation 6 AM to Midnight
It should be noted that metro areas and the mountains will get more rain by midday and afternoon. Thunderstorms and heavier rain showers last into the evening and overnight.
Snapshots
2 PM
6 PM
Midnight
Tropical Outlook: Atlantic
Humberto is now a Hurricane with 75 mph winds. This is expected to reach Category 3 by the weekend. The track will be WEST of Bermuda.
Invest 94L has a 90% chance to be named this weekend. This is the system that will be pushed close to and maybe into the Southeast US coast.
Tropical Satellite Loop
Invest 94L Forecast Models
This collection has followed the ECMWF Model I showed yesterday… pushing the storm inland. That European Model has a new adjustment worth noting… because the tropical models may follow again with a stall offshore.
Storm Forecast: ECMWF Model
Monday Morning to Friday Morning
SUGGESTION – NOT A PROMISE
This model led the change ahead of tropical models to push Imelda inland.
Now it shows this soon-to-be-named Imelda stalling for a day off the South Carolina Coast… THEN Moving inland.
High Pressure from Canada, in this setup, is allowed to drop south and suppress the storm, then help steer Imelda inland.
IF THIS HAPPENS… then less rain for the Mid Atlantic and more rain in the Carolinas.
Snapshots
Tuesday
Wednesday
Friday
European Wave Forecast: Monday Morning to Friday Morning
Wave Forecast Wednesday
This is based on the European Model showing the highest waves off the East Coast at this time.
Take Away: There is no promise of the track, but there will be up to 5 days of high water pounding the coast with more beach erosion.
7 Day Forecast
- Today: Morning Fog Then Sunny
- Saturday: Showers expand west to east. T’storms at night
- Sunday to Tuesday: Rain still depends on the future, Imelda
- Cooler air will follow later in the week
In Case You Missed It
I posted a report earlier about The La Niña Watch. This is expected to be brief and trend back to neutral and may result in an active and snowy winter.
Take A Look…
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