July 5 Heating Up And Tropical Storm Chantal Expected To Get Named Today

Saturday, July 5  2025

Morning Report

After the beautiful Independence Day we just had, we will see a little increase in heat and humidity today and tomorrow. There is a little haze in the air as the light winds have helped trap pollution in the region.

Tropical Depression 3 is off the South Carolina coast and is expected to get a little more organized. The expectation is for this to be named Tropical Storm Chantal today. The track inland across South Carolina will weaken it, but the impact will reach Maryland with some thunderstorms and high waves at the beach.

I will focus on that over the next few days in the forecast.

CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore

Yesterday: Low 63F; High 86F

TODAY July 5

Sunrise at 5:46 AM

Sunset at 8:36 PM

Normal Low in Baltimore:  67ºF

Record 55ºF in 1979; 2014

Normal High in Baltimore: 89ºF

Record 102ºF 1919; 1999

Rainfall Deficit at BWI

• Ending 2024 =  -8.00”
• Since Jan 1 =  -1.62”
• We are STILL DOWN -9.62” INCLUDING LAST YEAR

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Morning Surface Weather

Quick view at the national map. Our pleasant weather will remain as the tropical system heads north this weekend. The impact from this and the next cold front will increase our storm chances next week.

Tropical Satellite at 6 AM Sat July 5

The Low Pressure was located 160 miles South-Southeast of Charleston, SC.

Top winds were 35 mph.

Satellite Loop

The flare-up, in convention (high cloud tops form thunderstorms), is actually located east of the Low-Pressure center. This is due to wind shear, which may be at its worst now. It is lopsided, but it is expected to wrap around a little better today and tomorrow as the wind shear lessens.

National Hurricane Center Forecast

The expectation is for this to get named Chantal later this morning or early afternoon. Winds will be 40 mph and may increase to 45 mph, with gusts to 60 mph by landfall tomorrow.

Wave Forecast Sunday to Wednesday

Monday Afternoon Snapshot

Coastal Waves are likely to range between 4 and 8 feet, but the south side could increase to 12 feet at times.

Peak waves will be well offshore, maxing out at 18 Feet.

Storm Forecast: ECMWF AI Model

Saturday to Tuesday

Snapshots

Sunday

Monday

Temperatures

Saturday Afternoon

Sunday Morning

Sunday Afternoon

7 Day Forecast

Sunday T’showers may affect Southern Maryland and The Beaches

Daily thunderstorms in a typical Summer heat pattern are expected most of next week.

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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.  There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF