Saturday, May 3, 2025
This first weekend of May will start off warm and a tad more humid. The anticipation of rain is now mixed with the risk for severe storms, and the timing is still uncertain.
I can see the potential for storms to turn severe in this pattern, but I have doubts with the high-resolution models… I still show them here in my report, but with the reminder that they are a SUGGESTION.
What will see is a line of strong thunderstorms develop in the mountains this afternoon and spread east across Central Maryland and Southern Pennsylvania this evening and tonight.
Our afternoon may end up drier, but pop-up showers are possible ahead of the main event.
This ‘Slight Risk’ means that any thunderstorm may grow but is not promised to produce damaging winds, large hail, and an isolated tornado.
This zone includes much of Central Maryland and Southern Pennsylvania.
Alert Reminder:
Watch: Are issued for POTENTIAL, NOT a Promise. This will cover a large area for up to 6 hours.
Warning: Gets issued when a storm has formed and is being tracked. This will usually last 45 minutes and include towns in the path.
Rainfall Deficit at BWI
TODAY May 3
Sunrise at 6:06 AM
Sunset at 8:02 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 49ºF
Record 33ºF in 1986; 2005
Normal High in Baltimore: 72ºF
Record 92ºF 2018
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Tracking the build-up of strong to severe thunderstorms along with a band of heavy rain….
This will push eastward, and the “suggestion” is just that: A SUGGESTION…
Storms in the mountains form during the afternoon, then move east into Central Maryland this evening and tonight.
This will be a cooler day with more rain in the morning.
Morning rain followed by a break with scattered showers and a few thunderstorms. Again, I do not trust the specifics here, so consider a shower or thunderstorm for your plans.
The pattern will be wet for four days, but not a steady rain for the entire time. Monday will be more unsettled, and then the pattern will keep us with off-and-on showers that may build more activity each afternoon with the heat of the day.
Rain is more likely.
Mostly Cloudy with showers on and off… more in the afternoon.
Partly to mostly sunny with scattered showers… again more building in the afternoon.
The large upper-level Low in the Midwest will spin itself out…. This is what will be responsible for our unsettled pattern. Then, by Friday, a new impulse of cooler air will drop south from New England.
It looks wet almost every day. This weekend may turn soggy Saturday afternoon into Sunday…
Next week will keep the showers around, with afternoon thunderstorms building in the heat of the day and settling at night.
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