March 30 Remaining Warm And Tracking Severe Storm Outbreak Today To Reach Us Monday During The Orioles Game

March 30 2025

Sunday Morning Report

We reached 85F in Baltimore yesterday while winter is still trying to hang on. We can see that on the weather map this morning with the chilly air just north in metro Philadelphia and New York. Snow and ice are still falling across New England and The Great Lakes.

The other part of this system is about to produce a severe storm eruption in the Midwest, with a tornado outbreak expected along the Mississippi River Valley.

This system will move our way on Monday. I am showing two models that place the line of severe storms reaching Baltimore during the later part of the Orioles Game. The game should start on time but may be affected later on by frequent lightning and the chance for large hail in the downpours.

Suggestion Now: Storms Begin In Baltimore BETWEEN 5 PM and 7 PM. See more below.

My Bird Buddy

I am embracing spring with this new gadget. I am sharing for fun and am a regular paying customer. This is NOT an advertisement.

CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore

TODAY March 30

Sunrise at 6:54 AM

Sunset at 7:29 PM

Normal Low in Baltimore:  38ºF

Record 21ºF in 1887

Normal High in Baltimore: 60ºF

Record 89ºF 1998

Baltimore Seasonal Snow

12.7”

Drought Reminder

Rainfall Deficit at BWI

• Ending 2024 =  -8.00”
• Since Jan 1 =  -3.63”
• We are DOWN -11.63” including last year

TODAY’S WEATHER

Morning Temperatures

Surface Weather

We remain warm in much of our region, but we are on the edge of a backdoor cool front. Temperatures in New York and New England are in the 40s and 30s, with snow and ice in the mountains.

Severe Weather will develop with widespread large hail and tornadoes in the Mississippi River Valley.

That system will charge to the east and reach us tomorrow.

Storm Forecast Sunday Morning to Tuesday Morning

A strong storm will move our way and start with showers later on today. The main event will be Monday, with rain showers developing.

This is likely to affect the Orioles home opener in Baltimore.

The timing for the steady rain and thunderstorms is still open for refining. There is concern about a line of severe storms arriving later in the game.

NOAA Severe Storm Risk

Sunday

Monday

Weather Today

Cloud Forecast

Breaks of sun will help to boost temps back to the upper 70s.

4 PM Temperatures

MONDAY WEATHER

This will be a warm day, and it looks better with less rain to start. The concern is that a line of severe storms will arrive mid-afternoon and evening.

I am showing two models that place the line of severe storms reaching Baltimore during the later part of the Orioles Game.  The game should start on time but may be affected later on.

Morning Temperatures

Afternoon Temperatures: 3 PM For The Orioles Game

Wind Forecast

This flow FROM THE SOUTH is blowing OUT TO LEFT FIELD.

SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL

NOAA Risk Outlook

European Model Timing at 5 PM

Supercell Index

Lightning Density

WRF Model SNAPSHOTS

This product has the storm arriving in line with the European ECMWF Model:

Suggestion at 5 PM

Suggestion at 6 PM

Suggestion at 7 PM

Radar Simulation: NAM 3 Km

Noon to Midnight

This is holding off the bulk of the rain until the main line of thunderstorms. This animation is the NAM 3 Km model, showing it arriving a few hours later.

NAM Model SNAPSHOTS

Suggestion at 5 PM

Suggestion at 7 PM

Suggestion at 8 PM

Suggestion at 9 PM

7 Day Forecast

• After storms on Monday, two cooler days
• Warmer again later in the week
• Rain to start next weekend

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March Madness: History of Extreme Weather and Late Season Snow

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SNOW REPORTS THIS SEASON

Click on the maps for that full report.

Just A Bit Outside Feb 19

Brief Recap Of The Record Snow For Virginia and the abrupt change from the longer range potential track.

February 11 Snow Report And Grade My Forecast

click here or the map for more

January 19 Snow Report

January 11 Snow Report

January 6 Snow Report

Previous Snow

November 22 Snow Report

ALSO SEE

Recent Snow Reports

La Nina Advisory January 2025

Full Report

MY WINTER OUTLOOK

My Winter Outlook Report

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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.  There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF