January 4 2025
Saturday Morning Report
I know the attention is on the Winter Storm we expect to hit on Monday, but I needed to get this full forecast report out this morning as well.
The event on Friday did verify with a dusting to 1 inch across the Maryland and PA line, but Central Maryland saw a lull.
BWI reported 0.05” of snow. That is just over a dusting, but it is the first measurable snow of the year for that reporting station.
Southern Maryland got the BURST with a squall and Thundersnow. The mountains also did verify the original snow forecast for higher amounts.
ThunderSnow in Crofton MD
⚡️ ❄️
⏰ Friday Evening Jan 3This squall was captured by Melissa Steiner#FITF#thundersnow pic.twitter.com/u3On9MnBEg
— Justin Berk (@JustinWeather) January 3, 2025
It will be cold today, and wind chills will be in the 10s for the Ravens Game in Baltimore. The cold air is established for the storm to arrive in our region after midnight on Sunday night. It will be snowing by daybreak and for most of the day. The storm will impact schools and travel. We must also consider the wide range of computer guidance and remain conservative to allow for the track to shift the heavy snow and ice in either direction.
Today is Perihelion Day when Earth is closest to the sun during its annual orbit. Yes, it is ironic that in winter, we are 3 million miles closer to the sun and still cold. The 23.5° tilt of the pole plays a larger role in how much energy we get from the sun.
Sunrise at 7:26 AM
Sunset at 4:57 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 26ºF
Record 4ºF in 1918
Normal High in Baltimore: 44ºF
Record 70ºF 1950; 2000
8.00 Inch Deficit For 2024
The storm will be ejected from the Rockies and begin to take true form tomorrow in the Central Pains.
This is still taking form AND there is limited data across the rugged and rural mountains. Where the Low sets up will help refine the track for us.
Through Monday
Cold For The Ravens Game (starting at 4:30 PM)
Clouds will be increasing with the snow arriving well after dark/overnight.
The Warning for the mountains begins Sunday evening.
The Watch for most of the region is for AFTER MIDNIGHT Sunday night. This will likely be upgraded to a ‘warning’ tonight as the time window gets closer.
These are my confident numbers…
The PLUS is for either additional snow or icing creeping north
If you missed it, here is my detailed report from December 30 about why this IS A BIG DEAL!
Severe Weather: Storm Smart October and next spring Winter Weather FITF (Faith in the Flakes): November To March Click to see more and send a request for your school.
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I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF
