January 2 Growing Colder With Snow Events Friday Evening And Sunday Night Into Monday

January 2, 2025

Thursday Morning Report

The cold air in place is back to near-seasonable levels. There is much more on the way, and we may spend a full week or two near or below freezing.

We are watching a clipper race in with a burst of snow later Friday, which may drop 1 inch of accumulation.

Saturday will be chilly for the Ravens Game in Baltimore.

Then, the larger storm arrives late Sunday night and into Monday with a larger impact! At this point, it is too soon to say how much, but there is growing confidence that a wide area will get over 3 inches of snow.

CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore

TODAY January 2

Sunrise at 7:26 AM

Sunset at 4:56 PM

Normal Low in Baltimore:  27ºF

Record 0ºF in 1968

Normal High in Baltimore: 44ºF

Record 71ºF 1876

Baltimore Drought Update

8.00 Inch Deficit For 2024

Local Morning Temperatures

Seasonably cold air in place.

Morning Surface Weather

Cold air is about to get reinforcements. Lake Effect Snow is cranking with this surge, but much colder air will flow in behind a developing clipper.

This fast-moving snow event will reach us later on Friday and Friday evening.

Wind Forecast 7 AM to 7 PM

3 PM Snapshot

Temperatures

Wind Chill

FRIDAY JANUARY 3

A clipper will race in while developing.

Plan for a burst of snow with light accumulation late afternoon through evening.

Morning Temperatures

Afternoon Temperatures

Temps will drop below freezing with the snow in the evening.

Radar Snapshot at 4 PM

Radar Simulation: Noon to Midnight

Snow Potential:

A swath of 1 inch across Central Maryland to Delaware. There will be stickage on the roads in the evening.

Saturday: Ravens Game Temps

This game starts around sunset… So it will get colder while the winds make it feel like it’s in the TEENS!

NEXT WEEK STORM

ECMWF Model

This model is still leading the charge… remaining consistent with the expected snow track while other models are still playing catch-up.

There has been a trend a little earlier: Late Sunday night, this arrives in our region and will last most of Monday.

European Model Sunday 7 AM to Tuesday 7 AM

Snapshot: Sunday Night

Snapshot: Monday Morning

GFS Model Monday Morning

Canadian GEM Model Snapshot: Monday Morning

ECMWF Model Ensemble: Probability of 3 inches or More

I do not believe in snow totals, but a baseline for the low-end confidence is where we have more reliability now.

NOAA RISK IMPACT

Arctic Outbreak For January

If you missed it, here is my detailed report from December 30 about why this IS A BIG DEAL!

7 Day Forecast

Once the cold settles in, we may remain below freezing for a week or longer.

• Light snow Friday night…
• Chilly for Saturday, and the Ravens Game.
• Snow from Sunday night to Monday will impact much of the region.

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WINTER OUTLOOK

My Winter Outlook Report

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In Case You Missed This

The Faith In The Flakes Dec 5 Origin Story

In Case You Missed It:

November 22 Snow Report

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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.  There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF