November 25, 2024

Monday Morning Report

There is a very busy weather week ahead for the holiday. We start off calm with a chilly morning and mild afternoon. The first rain event will be mainly on Tuesday morning. The second is a larger storm that will dominate Thanksgiving. Most of us will see chilly rain. There will be snow well to the north, then colder air spills across the Eastern US to end the week. This will spark snow showers or flurries later in the weekend.

Morning Temperatures

Morning Surface Weather

A chilly start and a clear sky. With the sun and a light wind, temps will recover this afternoon.

The next front will develop rain that will reach us Tuesday morning.

The source of much colder air will follow and feed into the next storm, then a cold surge later in the week.

The Thanksgiving Storm we expect will be taking form across western Texas and New Mexico. That will reach us Wednesday night into Thursday.

2 PM Temperatures

In Case You Missed It:

November 22 Snow Report

My Winter Outlook Report

CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore

TODAY November 25

Sunrise at 7:01 AM

Sunset at 4:46 PM

Normal Low in Baltimore:  34ºF

Record 18ºF in 1950; 1956

Normal High in Baltimore: 54ºF

Record 75ºF 1973

Baltimore Drought Update

6.89 inches BELOW AVERAGE rainfall since September 1st

7.35 inches BELOW AVERAGE rainfall since January 1st

THE BURN BAN HAS ENDED

TUESDAY NOVEMBER 25

Starting with rain, then clearing.

Radar Simulation 4 AM to 2 PM

7 AM Radar Snapshot

7 AM Temperatures

10 AM Radar Snapshot

Wind Forecast 8 AM to  8 PM

The wind will settle down quite a bit today and fade to near calm by evening.

2 PM Wind Forecast

Afternoon Temperatures

Thanksgiving Storm

Rain will arrive on Wednesday night. Heavy Rain will start Thursday and expand through New York and New England. Snow will fall farther north from interior New York state to Northern New England.

Farther south, some thunderstorms will develop along the cold front on the other side of the storm system.

Animation Wednesday Night to Friday Night

Snapshot: Wednesday Night

Rain showers will expand east from The Ohio Valley.

Snapshot: Thursday Morning

Heavy rain will start the day for us in the Mid-Atlantic.

Snapshot: Thursday Afternoon

Heavy rain will be moving through the Northeast while tapering to showers and ending in the Mid-Atlantic.

Heavy snow will continue across interior New York to Northern New England.

Snapshot: Friday

Windy and cold but dry, however there is a chance there could be some showers from the Lake Effect event that could flow over the mountains. I’ve kept the chance low for now, but it is worth watching…

Looking Ahead To Sunday

Sunday Morning Temperatures

Many areas at or below freezing.

Sunday Morning Jet Stream

The vorticity (spin) aloft will help produce showers in the cold air. This is expected to result in snow in the mountains, while snow showers and flurries may pass into central Maryland during the day.

NOAA Temperature Outlook

COLDER

This pattern will reestablish itself into December. Here is the 6 to 10 Day map showing continued cold across the Mid Atlantic and Northeast US.

7 Day Forecast

Rain on Tuesday will be a morning event, then clearing.

The larger storm on Thanksgiving will start Wednesday night and last most of the holiday with periods of heavy rain. This will rematched for the main cities into New England.

Colder air flows in on Friday. The next piece of energy may bring flurries or snow showers on Sunday with mountain snow.

FITF

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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.

One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. 

There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF