November 19, 2024
Tuesday Morning Report
The excitement about the storm on the way has many layers. Take away the snow talk, and the big deal is the needed precipitation over extreme drought areas. The flip by Friday to winter cold is also a stark contrast to the record-warm Fall we have had.
There is a Winter Storm Watch for the high mountains of far Western Maryland and West Virginia. That is NOT for metro areas, but we do see a signal for snow showers or a rain-snow mix on Friday in metro Baltimore.
Let’s take a look…
High clouds will once again cover our sky ahead of the system to our west. This may provide another solar halo and sun dogs. It is often a signal of rain or snow arriving in the next 24 to 48 hours, and we do have that.
The main Low in Minnesota will spin our way and be the source of colder air.
The developing Low along The Gulf of Mexico will bring some severe weather and pass off the coast to our south.
The surge of colder air is entering Montana and will be expanding our way behind the rain and reaches us by Friday.
Nearly seasonal expectations.
Sunrise at 6:55 AM
Sunset at 4:59 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 36ºF
Record 19ºF in 2014
Normal High in Baltimore: 56ºF
Record 77ºF 1928
THE BURN BAN REMAINS IN PLACE
Map Updated Thursday, November 14
Increasing clouds and maybe an early shower. The main rain will arrive in metro areas after dark and overnight.
The core of the colder air will arrive on Friday, then relax by early next week.
The core of the cold air will pass through the East Coast. This is starting to look like a winter pattern.
It will also kick off the Lake Effect Snow.
The return to mild air will arrive by the end of the weekend.
Rain will be heaviest overnight.
Rain will be ending for us and shifting north.
Extreme drought regions of New Jersey, Metro New York, and New England will get needed rain!
The initial instability with snow showers in the mountains will begin.
Heavy snow in the mountains will continue.
Nearby snow showers in the northern suburbs, with rain and snow showers in and around Baltimore.
This includes Garrett County, MD, and the high mountains in West Virginia.
Snow 6 to 12+ inches with wind gusts to 50 mph.
Note this is over an extreme drought region and is much needed.
This is using the Kuchera ratio, which applies different snow to liquid ratios… not just a blanket 10” to 1.” Heavy snow is almost a certainty in the high mountains.
The Flip By Friday! This pattern change will be ushered in with strong winds and some snow/rain showers in the Baltimore suburbs.
Heavy snow in the high mountains of Western MD and WV for a few days.
The return of mild temps by early next week.
La Nina Watch Update: November 2024
Severe Weather: Storm Smart October and next spring
Winter Weather FITF (Faith in the Flakes): November To March
Click to see more and send a request for your school.
The annual event: Hiking and biking 329 miles in 7 days between The Summit of Wisp to Ocean City.
Each day, we honor a kid and their family’s cancer journey.
Fundraising is for Just In Power Kids: Funding Free Holistic Programs. I never have and never will take a penny. It is all for our nonprofit to operate.
Click here or the image to donate:
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF
