November 16 Pattern Change From Mild Weekend To First Local Mountain Snow Next Week
November 16, 2024 Saturday Morning Report We are due for a change, and it will show up in the next seven days. After the warmest and driest Fall on record…
November 17 Back To Dry And Mild Weather: Rain And Colder Temps On The Way
drought
Maryland Weather
climate data
rain timeline
Forecast
November 17, 2024
Sunday Morning Report
I need to start off with this: The Burn Ban continues! That rain we had the other day has already dried out on the surface, and this morning, a brush fire flared up in Baltimore City’s Druid Hill Park.
We do have rain in our forecast, but not until late Wednesday night. Until then, it will be mild and dry. Then, the pattern change will bring us colder temperatures to end the week and the first snow in the higher mountains in and around Western Maryland.
As for Tropical Storm Sara: Deadly flooding and mudslides continue in Central America. This storm will make landfall in Belize and then dissipate inland.
Morning Surface Weather
High Pressure dominates the eastern US. After this chilly morning, the afternoon will be near average. The light wind and mostly sunny sky will feel comfortable. A few high clouds will mix in across the sky.
A much colder air mass is over the Northern Rockies. As it moves east, it will help grow the storm from New Mexico and the Texas panhandle.
Tropical Storm Sara is about to make landfall in Belize. It will dissipate inland while continuing to drop life-threatening rain.
Wind Forecast
The wind will be very light, making for a comfortable afternoon.
Afternoon Temperatures
Nearly seasonal expectations.
Baltimore Drought Update
- 7.20 inches BELOW AVERAGE rainfall since September 1st
- 7.66 inches BELOW AVERAGE rainfall since January 1st
Map Updated Thursday, November 14
In Case You Missed It:
Here are some photos of the Supermoon From This Weekend.
CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore
TODAY November 17
Sunrise at 6:53 AM
Sunset at 4:50 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 36ºF
Record 20ºF in 1996
Normal High in Baltimore: 57ºF
Record 75ºF 1896; 1928
MONDAY NOVEMBER 18
Morning Temperatures
Afternoon Temperatures
Wind Forecast
Gusts up to 20 mph
EXTENDED FORECAST
ECMWF Model Wednesday Afternoon to Saturday Evening
Snapshot EARLY Thursday Morning
Rain moves in…
Snapshot Thursday Afternoon
Rain moves North and the cooler air begins to expand the snow in the mountains.
Snapshot Thursday Night
The cooler, unsettled air will help develop more showers and heavier snow squalls in the mountains.
Friday Afternoon
The cooler, unsettled air expands with more rain showers and snow squalls in the mountains.
Jet Stream: Wednesday Afternoon to Saturday
Snapshot Friday
The core of the cold air will pass through the East Coast. This is starting to look like a winter pattern.
7 Day Forecast
A warmer start to the week. Rain Wednesday night is the start of the change.
Colder air will settle in on Friday and Saturday.
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Also See
La Nina Watch Update: November 2024
FOUR SUPERMOONS OF 2024
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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF
