Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 11/14/2024 05:50:03 pm
Temperature

50°

Cloudy

40°

Dew Point
Relative Humidity

68%

Feels Like

50°

Wind (E)

10mph

Air Pressure

30.07

Sun
Sun Rise

06:49 AM

Sun Set

04:52 PM

Day Length

10:03 Hours

Difference

1 min 55 sec loss

Moon
Moon Rise

03:53 PM

Moon Set

05:14 AM

Next: Full Moon

Nov 15,2024

Moon Phase

Waxing Gibbous

Climate
Average Low

37°

57°

Average High
Record Low

18°


(1986)

77°


(1989)
Record High
Conditions

Sara Just Named As The 17th Tropical Storm Of The Season

National Hurricane Center
Tropics
Warnings

Wednesday, November 14 2024

Tropical Storm Sara was just named in the Western Caribbean. With a minimal 40 mph wind speed, it will hug the Central American coastline and make landfall in Honduras, then track inland this weekend.

The track crosses the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico and then enters open waters again. There may be some potential for the storm to regain some strength, but this is not the storm that was originally shown on models.

I do not hype early projections for tropical systems because we do not know their true potential until there is a defined Low plotted. Now that we have that, the path further south and more inland will limit their capabilities.

Tropical Satellite

The bulk of activity will be over Honduras. With the slow movement and enhancement from the mountains there is a general expectation for 10 to 20 inches of rainfall, with spots up to 30 inches.

Tropical Storm Force Winds reach 70 miles from the center.

November 14 Tropical Storm Sara Satellite

National Hurricane Center SUMMARY OF 1 PM EDT

  • LOCATION…15.7N 82.9W
  • ABOUT 205 MI…330 KM ESE OF ISLA GUANAJA HONDURAS
  • ABOUT 50 MI…85  KM NE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
  • MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
  • PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 265 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
  • MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…999 MB…29.50 INCHES

 

Tropical IR Satellite Loop

November 14 Tropical Storm Sara Satellite Loop

 

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…

* The northern coast of Honduras from Punta Sal eastward to the Honduras/Nicaragua Border

* The Bay Islands of Honduras

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…

* The northeastern coast of Nicaragua from Puerto Cabezas northward to the Honduras/Nicaragua Border

 

National Hurricane Center Forecast Track

It will be downgraded to a Tropical Depression this weekend and is expected to return over water by Monday night or Tuesday. If it has a chance to regain some strength it may be then, but chances at this time are low.

November 14 Tropical Storm Sara Forecast Tracks National Hurricane Center

 

Computer Model Forecast Tracks

Beyond day 5, there is an expected emergence into the open, warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico and a turn towards Florida.

November 14 Tropical Storm Sara Forecast Tracks Computer Models

 

Computer Model Forecast Intensity

There is a chance this downgrades to a depression and then regains some strength back to Tropical Storm intensity. The odds of a hurricane by the time it gets to Florida are small.

November 14 Tropical Storm Sara Forecast Intensity Computer Models

Interactive Windy  Widget

 

Recap Of The 2024 Atlantic Tropical Season So Far:

Named Storms

  1. Alberto June 19 to 20; Peaked As Tropical Storm
  2. Beryl June 28  11; Peaked As Cat 5 Hurricane
  3. Chris June 30 to July 1; Peaked As Tropical Storm
  4. Debby August 3 to 9; Peaked as a Category 1 Hurricane
  5. Ernesto August 12 to 20; Peaked As Cat 2 Hurricane
  6. Francine September 9 to 12; Peaked As Cat 2 Hurricane
  7. Gordon September 11 to 17; Tropical Storm
  8. Helene September 24 t0 27; Cat 4 Hurricane. Landfall with 140 mph winds
  9. Joyce September 27 to 30; Tropical Storm
  10. Kirk September 29 to October 7; Cat 4 Hurricane: Ocean with 145 mph winds
  11. Leslie October 2 to October 12; Cat 1 Hurricane
  12. Milton October 5 to 10; Cat 5 Winds 180 mph
  13. Nadine; October 19 to 20; Peak 60 mph
  14. Oscar October 19 to 22; Cat 1 Winds 85 mph
  15. Patty November 2 to 4; Peak 65 mph
  16. Rafael November 4 to 10; Cat 3 winds 120 mph
  17. Sara November 14 to …

 

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Also See:

La Nina Watch Update November 2024: Weak and Short Lived Event

November 14 La Nina Pacific Ocean Sea Surface Temperature

 

 

FOUR SUPERMOONS OF 2024

Click here for more

October 17 2024 Supermoon Hunters Moon

 

Please share your thoughts and best weather pics/videos, or just keep in touch via social media.

 

SCHEDULE A WEATHER BASED STEM ASSEMBLY

Severe Weather: Storm Smart October and next spring

Winter Weather FITF (Faith in the Flakes): November To March

Click to see more and send a request for your school.

School Weather Assemblies Storm Smart FITF

 

THANK YOU:

Baltimore Magazine Readers Choice Best Of Baltimore

 

Maryland Trek 11 Day 7 Completed Sat August 10

We raised OVER $104,000 for Just In Power Kids – AND Still Collecting More

The annual event: Hiking and biking 329 miles in 7 days between The Summit of Wisp to Ocean City.

Each day, we honor a kid and their family’s cancer journey.

Fundraising is for Just In Power Kids: Funding Free Holistic Programs. I never have and never will take a penny. It is all for our nonprofit to operate.

Click here or the image to donate:

 

RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.

One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. 

There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF