November 2 Cooler Weekend Warm Again Next Week And Drought Getting Worse

November 2, 2024

Saturday Morning Report

At first glance, the weather for the first week of November looks fantastic. Temps reaching the lower 60s with sunshine and light winds are great for yard work or any outdoor activity.

When we add in the context of no significant rain in the last 31 days, we then gain the perspective that we are in a drought, even if it is not official in some areas. There is a burn ban in Maryland and Pennsylvania. Any attempt to have a leaf burn or bonfire can send a flying ember on the dry terrain that can quickly flare up and spread. There have been brushfires in the mountains of central Maryland to southern Pennsylvania.

Also note: This is the last day of Daylight Saving Time. We turn the clocks back one hour on Sunday, which will add morning light but take away from the evening with sunset closer to 5 PM.

Drought Update

• Only a trace of rain Friday morning was the first since the last trace on October 4th.
• No Measurable Rain Since October 2nd = 31 Days!
• Rainfall DOWN -6.10” since Sep 1

24-Hour Temperature Change

Morning Temperatures at 7 AM

Morning Surface Weather

High-Pressure is building in and leading to cooler air. The return flow in the central US will expand our way and bring the next warm-up into next week.

Afternoon Forecast Temperatures

More in line with seasonable temperatures.

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CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore

TODAY November 2

Sunrise at 7:36 AM

Sunset at 6:04 PM

Normal Low in Baltimore:  40ºF

Record 29ºF in 1976

Normal High in Baltimore: 62ºF

Record 84ºF 1950

SUNDAY NOVEMBER 3

Just Dry!

Morning Lows

Afternoon Highs

Monday

High Pressure will do its thing like last month… Slide off the coast and park with the dominant flow of warm and dry air from the Southwest.

Animation: Monday Through Next Sunday

Remaining dry! The next cold front will produce severe storm outbreaks in the Midwest, but the rain will dissipate again as it reaches our region and the East Coast.

Tuesday

Sunday

NOAA Temperature Outlook

I continue to show this in reference to our extended forecast below.

7 Day Forecast

After the cool weekend, we warm up again next week. There is no significant rain in sight over the next seven days, so we can only hope the end of next weekend may bring something.

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FIRST FROST DATES

Here are the average dates across Maryland, and they match the advisories we saw last week.

Click this image to see more details across Maryland and Pennsylvania.

FOUR SUPERMOONS OF 2024

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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.

One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. 

There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF