November 1 Winds Whip Up Fire Risk Then Cooler Into The Weekend

November 1, 2024

Friday Morning Report

We have a brand new month but the same old weather pattern. A cold front is bringing a thin line of rain. If you get a shower this morning, it may be the first measurable rain in 29 days (October 2).

The new drought report shows the expanding concern. It also may be underestimating the impact in some parts of our region.

Dry weather, continuing along with strong winds, has raised the concern of wildfire risk. Something to take seriously heading into the weekend and the temptation to have bonfires.

After a cool weekend, temps get back up near record-high territory next week.

Radar Snapshot

Live Radar

Drought Update

No Measurable Rain Since October 2nd = 29 Days!

Until maybe this morning, but whatever we get will not make a dent in our drought.

Rainfall DOWN -5.99” since Sep 1

Fire Danger

There is a Fire Weather Watch in southern PA and a Red Flag Warning of greater concern in New Jersey and metro New York.

Morning Temperatures

Some cloud cover, and remaining mild ahead of the cold front!

Morning Surface Weather

This cold front may produce a brief rain shower, then back to gusty winds, and eventually cooler this weekend.

Wind Forecast 8 AM to 8 PM

Snapshot at 3 PM

Gusts 20 to 30 mph.

Afternoon Forecast Temperatures

Remaining warm! The colder air with the new air mass will arrive tomorrow.

CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore

TODAY November 1

Sunrise at 7:35 AM

Sunset at 6:05 PM

Normal Low in Baltimore:  41ºF

Record 29ºF in 1954

Normal High in Baltimore: 63ºF

Record 86ºF 1950

SATURDAY NOVEMBER 2

Morning Lows

Afternoon Highs

Sunday

Sunny and chilly…. Dry for the Ravens game.

Animation: Sunday through Wednesday

Remaining dry! The next cold front will produce severe storm outbreaks in the MidWest, but the rain will dissipate again as it reaches our region and the east coast.

Wednesday

Another slim chance for rain as temps bump up to near record levels.

NOAA Temperature Outlook

I continue to show this in reference to our extended forecast below.

7 Day Forecast

No real rain in sight. The drought concern will build as temps recover from the cooler weekend and become very warm again next week.

The 80ºF expected on Wednesday would tie a record high.

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FIRST FROST DATES

Here are the average dates across Maryland, and they match the advisories we saw last week.

Click this image to see more details across Maryland and Pennsylvania.

FOUR SUPERMOONS OF 2024

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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.

One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. 

There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF