October 31 Kind Of Hot Halloween With Severe Storm Risk In The Central US
October 31, 2024
Thursday Morning Report
Happy Halloween! Today will be the warmest day of this stretch, and it may be welcome but could be warm and sweaty in some costumes. There was a record heat wave in Baltimore during the last three days of October in 1946. Temps hit the lower 80s and remain on the books. Today, we will get into the 80s, but we might expect to stay below the record mark.
A strong cold front will be responsible for severe storms in the South and snow in the Northern Plains. This will cross our region tomorrow and lead us into a cooler weekend.
The drought report will be updated today and is expanding. We have not had measurable rain in 4 weeks!
Morning Temperatures
Check out this warm start! Temps are in the mid-50s to 60s across central Maryland…. 40s and 50s inland and into southern PA.
One highlight: The mountains of Western Maryland are also in the 60s near McHenry.
Morning Surface Weather
High-Pressure pumps in the heat enhanced by a strong cold front! We remain with well above average temps and nearly no rain!
The cold front will be very active, with severe storms across the South and snow developing to the north!
It will fade as it arrives East, but we will get cooler air this weekend.
NOAA Severe Storm Risk
There may be an outbreak of severe storms with large hail and tornadoes… Highlighted from western Missouri to central Oklahoma.
Afternoon Forecast Temperatures
Warming up into the mid and upper 70s.
Trick Or Treating
Remaining warm/comfortable for the kids.
CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore
TODAY October 31
Sunrise at 7:34 AM
Sunset at 6:06 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 41ºF
Record 25ºF in 1966
Normal High in Baltimore: 63ºF
Record 85ºF 1946
Drought Update
No Measurable Rain Since October 2nd; Only A TRACE on October 4th.
It’s been 4 weeks without rain.
Rainfall DOWN -5.87” since Sep 1.
FRIDAY NOVEMBER 1
Morning Lows
Radar Simulation: 7 AM to Noon
The cold front will arrive as the rain is fading away. The best we can hope for is some sprinkles or a brief shower in the morning.
Afternoon Highs
Saturday
A new air mass with cooler temperatures into the weekend.
Animation: Saturday through Tuesday
As the core of that air mass shifts off the coast, we will get the return flow pumping in with another big warm-up.
NOAA Temperature Outlook
It will be ANOTHER WEEK of very warm temperatures.
7 Day Forecast
This seems like a repeating pattern with a cooler weekend, VERY WARM Midweek, and not much rain in sight.
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FIRST FROST DATES
Here are the average dates across Maryland, and they match the advisories we saw last week.
Click this image to see more details across Maryland and Pennsylvania.
FOUR SUPERMOONS OF 2024
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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF