October 22 The Warmest Day Of The Week Then Two Steps To Cooler To Follow
October 22, 2024
Tuesday Morning Report
This late summer warmth will continue, with temperatures peaking today into the lower 80s for many. The sunshine has been abundant, which is helping with leaf peeping but expanding the drought and concerns for wildfires. Not much rain is in sight, and the only chance will be a brief shower on Saturday with the second of two cold fronts this week.
TROPICAL STORM OSCAR
After crossing Cuba yesterday, this became disorganized and is barely hanging on. It is moving through the Southeastern Bahamas and out into the open Atlantic. The concern had been the rapid spin-up to hurricane intensity this past weekend, but it is not going to repeat.
Tropical Satellite
Update at 5 AM From The National Hurricane Center
- LOCATION…22.7N 74.8W
- ABOUT 45 MI…75 KM SSE OF LONG ISLAND
- MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
- PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
- MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1006 MB…29.71 INCHES
Satellite Loop
This is a small storm with tropical storm-force winds extending only 105 miles from the center.
Forecast Track From The National Hurricane Center
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
- Central Bahamas
- Southeastern Bahamas
Morning Surface Weather
Oscar is being directed by the same High Pressure that is keeping our weather in the Eastern US so warm and dry.
Local Weather:
Afternoon Forecast Temperatures
Drought Update
The conditions are very dry for much of the region. A Severe Drought has been developing in the mountains from Western Maryland to West Virginia.
Extremely dry conditions on Delmarva will continue to grow in this week ahead.
Baltimore Stats:
Rainfall
- -2.37” for the month
- Only had measurable rain on October 1 and 2
- Part of 11 days in a row from Sep 22 to Oct 2
BUT ONLY
- -4.78” since Sep 1
CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore
TODAY October 22
Sunrise at 7:24 AM
Sunset at 6:17 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 44ºF
Record 31ºF in 1952
Normal High in Baltimore: 66ºF
Record 85ºF 1920; 1979
FIRST FROST DATES
Here are the average dates across Maryland, and they match the advisories we saw last week.
Click this image to see more details across Maryland and Pennsylvania.
FOUR SUPERMOONS OF 2024
WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 23
Still warm, but more clouds may keep temps back just a tad.
Morning Low
Afternoon High
LOOKING AHEAD
Wednesday Weather
Still very warm, with a signal of cooler air on the way.
Animation: Wednesday to Sunday
A very quiet weather pattern, even with the transition of air masses. Not much moisture is to be found.
Saturday
A slight increase in the risk of a rain shower.
Sunday
Back to the real feel of Fall… WINDY and Cooler.
7 Day Forecast
The transition back to ‘normal’ will be Thursday and Friday. Then, a second surge of colder air will arrive Sunday.
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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF