October 20 Sunny Sunday Summer Warm Up And Surprise Of Hurricane Oscar

October 20, 2024

Sunday Morning Report

The weather pattern in the Eastern US is as nice as it gets in late October. We did have a record Low Temperature Thursday morning, so this is our reward on the flip side. Sunshine, warm temperatures, and light winds will continue today. Temperatures will reach the mid to upper 70s, nearly 20 degrees above average.

If you need an incentive to make the most of our weather, consider this: In two weeks, we will have the end of Daylight Saving Time. Compare sunset today at 6:20 PM, then on November 3, it will be 5:02 PM.

Our warm-up will continue until the middle of the work week, then turn chilly by Thursday.

My Favorite Personal Fall Photo

I was in Philadelphia Saturday morning and captured this in East Fairmont Park near The Art Museum. I wanted to share this one because it is a natural sanctuary in the middle of an urban center.

Morning Surface Weather

HIGH AND DRY! Broad high pressure continues and is shifting to a position to allow warmer winds to flow in.

This same dome is blocking any progress from the tropics.

This weekend, there was a surprise development of two storms.

Nadine quickly became a tropical storm yesterday and moved onshore into Belize and now southern Mexico. Now, it is a ‘depression’ and will have a chance to reenergize when it reaches the Pacific Ocean.

Oscar was named quickly yesterday… yes after I posted in the morning a very low chance for development.

This morning, it had winds of 80 mph, but it is stuck where it is thanks to our blocking High.

TROPICS:

Hurricane Oscar is a very small storm. Hurricane-force winds only extend 5 miles from the center, while tropical storm-force winds reach 45 miles from the center. This had a very small chance to develop yesterday morning, then found a way to spin up in a hurry. You can blame the poor modeling or warm waters—either way, it was not expected to be like this.

It is impacting parts of Haiti, Cuba, Turks and Caicos Islands, and Southern Bahamas. It is not a United States storm.

Tropical Satellite

• LOCATION…17.4N 87.1W
• ABOUT 75 MI…115 KM E OF BELIZE CITY
• ABOUT 110 MI…175 KM SE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
• MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
• PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
• MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1004 MB…29.65 INCHES

Satellite Loop

Forecast Track From The National Hurricane Center.

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…

• Southeastern Bahamas
• North coast of the Cuban Provinces of Holguin and Guantanamo to Punta Maisi

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…

• North coast of the Cuban Province of Las Tunas

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…

• Turks and Caicos Islands
• South coast of Cuban Province of Guantanamo
• North coast of the Cuban Province of Las Tunas

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…

• North coast of the Cuban Province of Camaguey

Local Weather:

Afternoon Forecast Temperatures

CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore

TODAY October 20

Sunrise at 7:22 AM

Sunset at 6:20 PM

Normal Low in Baltimore:  45ºF

Record 28ºF in 1972; 1981; 1992

Record Snow 0.9” (part of 1.3” two day event)

Normal High in Baltimore: 67ºF

Record 87ºF 1969

FIRST FROST DATES

Here are the average dates across Maryland, and they line up on schedule with the advisories we saw last week.

Click this image to see more details across Maryland and Pennsylvania.

FOUR SUPERMOONS OF 2024

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MONDAY OCTOBER 21

Clear sky and quiet weather, with notably warmer air flowing in.

Afternoon High

LOOKING AHEAD

Monday Jet Stream

Summer heat pumping in for a few days.

Animation: Monday To Thursday

This will keep us dry with a warm-up each day through the middle of next week.

The next cold shot will arrive by Thursday.

Thursday Jet Stream

The core of the upper-level source of cold air will pass through. The surface cold may lag behind another day.

7 Day Forecast

Very quiet weather for the week! Warming up close to 80 next week! The return to cooler more seasonal weather will arrive Thursday and Friday.

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THANK YOU:

Baltimore Magazine Readers Choice Best Of Baltimore

Maryland Trek 11 Day 7 Completed Sat August 10

We raised OVER $104,000 for Just In Power Kids – AND Still Collecting More

The annual event: Hiking and biking 329 miles in 7 days between The Summit of Wisp to Ocean City.

Each day, we honor a kid and their family’s cancer journey.

Fundraising is for Just In Power Kids: Funding Free Holistic Programs. I never have and never will take a penny. It is all for our nonprofit to operate.

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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.

One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. 

There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF