Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 10/05/2024 10:20:02 am
Temperature

66°

Partly Cloudy

63°

Dew Point
Relative Humidity

90%

Feels Like

66°

Wind (N)

9mph

Air Pressure

30.18

Sun
Sun Rise

07:07 AM

Sun Set

06:42 PM

Day Length

11:35 Hours

Difference

2 min 32 sec loss

Moon
Moon Rise

09:51 AM

Moon Set

07:53 PM

Next: First Quarter

Oct 10,2024

Moon Phase

Waxing Crescent

Climate
Average Low

49°

70°

Average High
Record Low

35°


(1996)

97°


(1941)
Record High
Conditions

October 4 More Clouds Today Then Warm Weekend and Fall Chill Next Week

Maryland Weather
climate data
rain timeline
National Hurricane Center
Forecast
Tropics

Friday October 4, 2024

Morning Report

We will end the week with a warm tone, but we need to deal with some areas of thick fog this morning. While the day will have more clouds, the afternoon should be warm in the 70s. A few spotty showers are possible this afternoon and tonight.

The weekend will remain warm, but the uncertainty of the cloud cover might make viewing the potential Northern Lights challenging. There will be a few nights to try and see them.

Next week brings us autumn chill while the tropical outlook still holds a 40% chance of development and possible flooding in South Florida.

Visibility Reports at 6 AM

October 4 weather Friday morning visibility fog

 

Morning Surface Weather

The cluster of storms in the Mid-West is along a cold front moving our way. From the south, cloud cover will push in all day.

October 4 weather Friday morning map

Live Satellite and Lightning Widget

I wanted to show you this view this morning to highlight the morning storms in the Mid West. That front is more active now than models suggested. It will fade, but bring us a chance for showers tonight.

Meanwhile there will be a flood of clouds from the South through the day.

 

Radar Simulation 8 AM to Midnight

This is looking more active inland with spotty showers. I expect this will be more pronounced later in the day and tonight.

October 4 weather forecast rain Friday

Snapshot at 4 PM

October 4 weather forecast rain Friday afternoon

Afternoon Temperatures

October 4 weather temperatures Friday afternoon

Aurora Forecast

The two strong solar storms are in process of hitting Earth through the weekend. The Space Weather Prediction Agency has posted these forecast Planetary Kp indexes.

October 4 Aurora Kp Index Forecast

 

October 4 Aurora Kp Index Forecast hourly

 

In the Mid Atlantic we have our best chance in the mountains when above 7; in lower elevations when above 8.

Note: We would also need a clear sky as well as away from city lights to see.

 

EXTENDED AND TROPICAL FORECAST BELOW

 

CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore

TODAY October 4

Sunrise at 7:06 AM

Sunset at 6:44 PM

Normal Low in Baltimore:  51ºF

Record 31ºF in 1974 – The Earliest FREEZE on record in Baltimore

Normal High in Baltimore: 73ºF

Record 92ºF 1954

 

SATURDAY OCTOBER 5

Morning Low

Morning Fog Again Possible, then clearing.

October 4 weather temperatures Saturday morning

 

Afternoon High

A pleasant weekend day with sun and warmer temps.

October 4 weather temperatures Saturday afternoon

 

Looking Ahead

Sunday Night to Monday Night

October 4 weather forecast storm

A cold front may produce some thundershowers, then a fresh air mass will open us up to a much cooler air mass next week.

Jet Stream: Sunday Night to Thursday Night

October 4 weather jet stream forecast

Snapshot Wednesday Morning

We will have many areas with lows in the 40s.

October 4 weather forecast jet stream

Tropical Outlook From National Hurricane Center

As of this morning, this region in the Gulf of Mexico is back up to a 40% chance for ‘something’ to develop in the NEXT 7 DAYS! It will be challenged by strong upper-level winds that will push the moisture into Southern Florida.

October 4 tropical weather outlook National Hurricane Center

ECMWF Model: Monday To Thursday

The push of moderate to heavy rain may eventually develop an organized Low Pressure on the Atlantic side of Florida…. After passing through.

October 4 tropical rain forecast ECMWF Model

 

Heavy Rainfall Outlook

This looks like a flooding event for South Florida, with 6 to 12 inches of rain over the next week.

October 4 weather tropical heavy rain Florida

7 Day Forecast

A warm weekend to enjoy before the surge of Fall chill next week.

October 4 weather forecast 7 day Friday

 

 

Please share your thoughts and best weather pics/videos, or just keep in touch via social media.

 

SCHEDULE A WEATHER BASED STEM ASSEMBLY

Severe Weather: Storm Smart October and next spring

Winter Weather FITF (Faith in the Flakes): November To March

Click to see more and send a request for your school.

School Weather Assemblies Storm Smart FITF

ALSO SEE

Equinox NOT Equal Daylight… Yet

September 22 weather Fall Equinox 2024

 

SECOND OF FOUR FULL SUPERMOONS

Click to see the full report:

September 17 4 supermoons

THANK YOU:

Baltimore Magazine Readers Choice Best Of Baltimore

 

Maryland Trek 11 Day 7 Completed Sat August 10

We raised OVER $104,000 for Just In Power Kids – AND Still Collecting More

The annual event: Hiking and biking 329 miles in 7 days between The Summit of Wisp to Ocean City.

Each day, we honor a kid and their family’s cancer journey.

Fundraising is for Just In Power Kids: Funding Free Holistic Programs. I never have and never will take a penny. It is all for our nonprofit to operate.

Click here or the image to donate:

 

RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.

One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. 

There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF