Wednesday October 2, 2024
Morning Report
The remaining energy from Helene is off the coast and helping to hold drizzle and fog in place for another morning. This pattern is slow to improve, but it will gradually. Today some left over showers with temps still below average but getting closer to 70ºF.
The Baltimore Orioles host the Royals for the second game of the playoffs, with the first pitch at 4:30 PM. The game will get in! It will feel humid, with temperatures closer to 70ºF. A spotty shower is still possible.
The pattern will break with more sun tomorrow, and we are still on pace for a sunny and warm weekend.
The Tropical Outlook holds a 40% chance for development, but the forecast models do not show much organization with the heavy rain heading toward Florida.
Annapolis’s next high tide will be this evening. High water is expected, but not as much as the last few days.
Showers will be more widespread this morning, then break up to be spotty this afternoon.
The remaining circulation is spinning off the East Coast, but the broad upper-level pattern has stagnant dampness across the Mid-Atlantic.
We remain with low level moisture that has fog and drizzle. The Showers are spotty and there will be ice instigation from the slow-moving cold front in the mountains.
It will be cool and damp… But the Orioles game should be on time.
EXTENDED AND TROPICAL FORECASTS BELOW
Sunrise at 7:04 AM
Sunset at 6:47 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 52ºF
Record 35ºF in 1997
Normal High in Baltimore: 74ºF
Record 98ºF 2019
Still cool and damp, with pockets of drizzle and fog.
Still some spotty showers, but not as rainy.
If we do get some sun to break out, that will help boost temps into the mid-70s.
NOTE: It is IMPOSSIBLE to plot a tropical event BEFORE there is a central Low Pressure identified and plotted on a map. So, any forecast tracks you may have seen are bogus.
As of this morning, there is still only a 40% chance that ‘something’ will develop in the NEXT 7 DAYS! This is the same region where Helene came from, and still NOT the same thing!!!!
It seems to be longer until we clear out, but it will time out for the weekend. Next week will turn cooler.
Severe Weather: Storm Smart October and next spring
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I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
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