Sunday, September 15 2024
Morning Report
The warm and more humid feel to the air will continue this afternoon. That may be good news for the Ravens game in Baltimore or your outdoor plans. Make the most of it. The week ahead will turn cloudy, rainy, and cooler.
We are watching potential tropical development off the Southeast US coast. I am not sure it will get named, but it will bring in a few days with rain and cooler temps. The bands of rain may contain tropical downpours. Despite our dry conditions now, there could be local flooding at times.
With High Pressure passing to our North, the flow around it will gradually increase FROM THE EAST. That will help bring in more moisture. This will mix with developing clouds and hold temps down around the water and Eastern Shore.
The National Hurricane Center has a 50% chance for tropical development off the South Carolina coast, but it may run out of time as it moves inland this week. This system will also help to increase our airflow from the Southeast and bring in a few days of rainfall.
Easterly flow will help to mix in more clouds and keep temps in check.
Sunrise at 6:48 AM
Sunset at 7:14 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 59ºF
Record 40ºF in 1873
Normal High in Baltimore: 80ºF
Record 97ºF 1927
A strong solar storm caused an X-class flare on Saturday, which is expected to reach Earth on Monday. However, increasing cloud cover and the approaching Full Supermoon will limit our ability to view it, so I doubt this will be our event in the Mid-Atlantic.
Easterly flow from the East will help bring in more moisture, which will result in more clouds and cooler temperatures.
Low Pressure developing off the East Coast will move inland. This could establish a longer trend of a Southeast flow to bring a few days with showers or steady rain.
Low Pressure will move inland. Regardless of whether it gets named or not, it will bring tropical moisture with locally heavy downpours expanding. We will see increasing clouds, and showers may arrive from the south by nightfall.
The flow of tropical moisture from the Southeast will keep us with rain on Tuesday and Wednesday, then lingering showers and cooler temperatures the rest of the work week.
This may be our RAINY DAY.
Rain may continue across metro areas.
The adjustment here is the rain may remain more persistent.
The edge of the influence of showers may split the region with cool winds dominating and bringing in dry air on the north side.
GFS Model
This product brings heavier rain south and less north compared to the more uniform rainfall shown on the European Model Below.
ECMWF Model
This product produces heavier rain farther north.
The persistent flow of moisture may keep the rain around Tuesday into Wednesday with lingering showers and cool temps the rest of the work week.
Click here to see: NOAA Released Its Most Aggressive Hurricane Season Forecast
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I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF
