September 11 Weather And Hurricane Francine Landfall Forecast

Wednesday, September 11, 2024

NEVER FORGET

Morning Report

Today marks 23 years since the attack on our country, and there will be many tributes to the private citizens and first responders lost. I will be part of an outdoor World Trade Center stair climb. This and other outdoor events will have quiet weather for much of the Eastern US.

The main weather story is that Hurricane Francine will make landfall tonight on the coast of Louisiana and track just west of New Orleans. Winds are at 90 mph and expected to possibly reach 100 mph, making it a Category 2 storm when it hits the coast. WE will start with the storm look below.

Morning Surface Weather

High Pressure is still in control in our region. Hurricane Francine is located in the Northwestern Gulf of Mexico. The outer clouds have reached the Carolinas. We may see some over the next few days, but the blocking High Pressure will help direct the storm inland.

Hurricane Francine

National Hurricane Center Update

SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT…0900 UTC…INFORMATION

———————————————-

• LOCATION…27.0N 93.8W
• ABOUT 225 MI…360 KM ENE OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
• ABOUT 245 MI…395 KM SW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
• MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…90 MPH…150 KM/H
• PRESENT MOVEMENT…NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
• MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…977 MB…28.85 INCHES

Satellite Loop

Windy Interactive Widget

HWRF Forecast Model Through Friday Night

Forecast Intensity

This may briefly reach Category 2 with winds of 100 mph just before moving inland and then weakening.

Forecast Track From The National Hurricane Center

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…

* Cameron Louisiana to the Mississippi/Alabama Border

* Vermilion Bay

* Lake Maurepas

* Lake Pontchartrain

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…

* The Louisiana coast from Vermilion/Cameron Line eastward to Grand Isle

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…

* Mississippi/Alabama Border to the Alabama/Florida Border

* Mobile Bay

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…

* Lake Maurepas and Lake Pontchartrain, including metropolitan New Orleans

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…

* Louisiana coast east of Sabine Pass to Vermilion/Cameron Line

* East of Grand Isle Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border

* Lake Maurepas and Lake Pontchartrain, including metropolitan New Orleans

Peak Storm Surge

Water may recharge 10 feet along the Louisiana Coast ahead of the storm and on the east side of the path (the stronger side).

Rainfall Forecast

Rainfall is expected to reach an additional 4 to 6 inches along the path and east of the storm (stronger side).

LOCAL WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON

Temperatures

Yesterday, Baltimore reached 87ºF. Today, the winds will shift from the east, dropping temperatures a few degrees.

CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore

TODAY September 11

Sunrise at 6:45 AM

Sunset at 7:21 PM

Normal Low in Baltimore:  61ºF

Record 43ºF in 1917

Normal High in Baltimore: 82ºF

Record 100ºF 1983

THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 12

Morning Temperatures

Afternoon Temperatures

Forecast Wednesday To Friday Night

The core of Francine will move inland and then spin out. While we may get clouds from this on Friday, no local rainfall is expected.

7 Day Forecast

We will get NO impact from Francine. High Pressure will be in control, and the only chance will be the wind shift, which may bring in more clouds on Friday. The next chance for rain will be on Tuesday.

If You Missed It

Click here to see: NOAA Released Its Most Aggressive Hurricane Season Forecast

THANK YOU:

Baltimore Magazine Readers Choice Best Of Baltimore

Maryland Trek 11 Day 7 Completed Sat August 10

We raised OVER $104,000 for Just In Power Kids – AND Still Collecting More

The annual event: Hiking and biking 329 miles in 7 days between The Summit of Wisp to Ocean City.

Each day, we honor a kid and their family’s cancer journey.

Fundraising is for Just In Power Kids: Funding Free Holistic Programs. I never have and never will take a penny. It is all for our nonprofit to operate.

Click here or the image to donate:

Four Supermoons In A Row

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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.

One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. 

There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF