Wednesday, July 3 2024
Morning Report
After two very nice days, the heat and humidity will be building back and last into next week. July 4th may end stormy, especially for our northern areas of Maryland and Pennsylvania. Then, most days into next week will be humid with daily pop-up storms.
The other focus is on Major Hurricane Beryl. It will be passing across the southern part of Jamaica today, then the Cayman Islands and Mexico into the weekend. The longer-range path brings the final landfall near Southern Texas by Sunday. While missing us locally, it will affect the broader pattern, making it feel more tropical.
The storm has dropped to a Category 4 with 145 mph winds, but it remains a very destructive system. Today, it will pound Jamaica with a high storm surge of up to 9 Feet, and rainfall may reach up to 12 inches.
Tomorrow, it will pass through The Cayman Islands.
Hurricane Force Winds reach 45 miles from the center.
Tropical Storm Force Winds reach 185 miles from the center.
SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…16.6N 74.4W
ABOUT 185 MI…300 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
ABOUT 485 MI...780 KM ESE OF GRAND CAYMAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…145 MPH…230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH…31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...946 MB…27.94 INCHES
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* Jamaica
* Grand Cayman
* Little Cayman and Cayman Brac
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* South coast of Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Anse d’Hainault
* East coast of the Yucatan Peninsula from Chetumal to Cabo Catoche
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* South coast of Dominican Republic from Punta Palenque westward to the border with Haiti
* South coast of Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Anse d’Hainault
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Coast of Belize from south of Chetumal to Belize City
High Pressure will shift towards the coast and allow more humid air to flow in. The cold front and focus for storms will remain to our west… but influence a higher chance for storms tomorrow afternoon and evening.
Heating back up close to average. We may notice the increased humidity.
Sunrise at 5:45 AM
Sunset at 8:36 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 67ºF
Record 50ºF in 2001
Normal High in Baltimore: 89ºF
Record 104ºF 1898
Hot and More Humid! We will track a line of storms forming in Pennsylvania and dropping into Maryland by the evening.
The next surge of heat, humidity, and storms will occur on Independence Day and into the weekend, with higher heat!
The impact of Beryl may make its final landfall in southern Texas near Houston. This will push inland but affect the large-scale pattern, helping to push in a more humid air mass across the Mid-Atlantic. This will increase our chance of daily storms without any organized events. That means daily storms that will pop up any time in the afternoon and evening.
Simply put, a summer forecast: Hot and humid with a chance of storms each day. Most of them will be scattered and difficult to time and plot for your location. Just something to consider and be aware of for outdoor plans.
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF
