Two Quiet Days Locally While Tropical Development Possible In The Gulf
Tuesday July 9 2019
We finally get a break from the rain for a couple of days, but storms will return by Thursday along with more heat. The other focus will be across the southeast US. The same energy that provided us with heavy storms is getting pushed to the south. The expectation is that as this enters the Gulf of Mexico, it could develop into a tropical storm. At this time, the atmosphere will steer this to the west. See the projections below.
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Local Weather Stats: Tuesday July 9, 2019 in Baltimore
Average High: 88ºF
Record High: 103ºF in 1936
Average Low: 67ºF
Record Low: 54ºF in 1984
Sunrise: 5:47 AM
Sunset 8:35 PM
*Daylight = 0:59 shorter than yesterday
*Bay Water Temperature = 79ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House
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Temperatues
Highs Tuesday
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Lows Wednesday
Lows Wednesday
Highs Thursday
Rain Outlook This Week
Tracking The Tropics
The National Hurricane Center gives this region over 60% chance to develop a tropical storm in the next 5 days. The models show it likely by Thursday or Friday. If this becomes a Tropical Storm, it would be named Barry, the second one of the season.
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GFS Model Animation
The GFS Model shows the circulation along the coast, which would limit development.
European Model
The ECMWF shows the development father offshore, which would allow this to get better organized. At this time, it shows it south of New Orleans on Friday, then moving onshore in western Louisiana by Friday evening.
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