Sunday June 2 2019

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for central Maryland west of the Bay, through the mountains, and much of northern Virginia. The is in place until 8 PM.  It means conditions are favorable as thunderstorms develop, some may turn severe. It means potential, not a promise that wind may become damaging, or hail will be large. The risk of tornados is small, but an isolated one is possible.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Until 8 PM in MD/VA

UPDATED: Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 10 PM in southern PA, MD Eastern Shore and Delaware. This fits with my original post and suggestion. We all are in on this today.

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Severe Storm Qualifier:

• Winds over 58 mph
• Large hail over 1 inch diameter (size of a quarter)
• Isolated Tornado

Please note that as we get closer, these are potential alerts to be issued.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch: A broad area and window with a 4 to 6 hour time frame. This means it MIGHT happen.

Severe Thunderstorm Warning: A focused area like a county usually with a 30 to 60 minute time frame. This means it IS HAPPENING NOW.

Tornado Warning: A focused area and time frame. This would list towns in a likely path within a 15 to 45 minute window.

Afternoon Radar Loop

2 Hours through 1:30 PM

Storms have become very active in western Maryland, West Virginia, and Ohio. But look into western PA, there is action there as well… Which is why I think southern PA should pay close attention for their storms between  3PM and 8 PM.

Radar Simulation —> slider

This is the NAM 3 Km Model. NOT Perfect, but the best guidance for development. 

Reminder that lsat week this was slow by about 1 hour.

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