Sunday June 2 2019

The weekend started off nicely, but there were some heavy thunderstorms last night in Pennsylvania and northern Maryland. Today, the action will shift a bit to the south and east. The Storm Prediction Center has most of our region in the Slight Risk for severe storms today. Today will be very warm, followed by very chilly air tomorrow. It has been the large pool of cool air to our north that has played a big role in the severe storm outbreaks. That cool air will dominate our weather for the first half of this month.

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UPDATE:

Click here to see the latest on Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 8 PM! 

Severe Storm Qualifier:

• Winds over 58 mph
• Large hail over 1 inch diameter
• Isolated Tornado

Please note that as we get closer, these are potential alerts to be issued.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch: A broad area and window with a 4 to 6 hour time frame. This means it MIGHT happen.

Severe Thunderstorm Warning: A focused area like a county usually with a 30 to 60 minute time frame. This means it IS HAPPENING NOW.

Tornado Warning: A focused area and time frame. This would list towns in a likely path within a 15 to 45 minute window.

Morning Radar Loop (2 Hours ending 8 AM)

A line of showers is already approaching from the west, but most of the action will be mid afternoon through midnight.

Morning Surface Map

The morning line of storms is not the cold front. So there will be more energy behind it that will arrive with the peak heating of the day. This will reach us mid afternoon through midnight.

Timing Today:

• 2 PM to 8 PM Central MD and Southern PA
• After 4 PM to 10 PM Metro Baltimore-Annapolis, Delmarva Between Elkton-Easton-Dover)
• After 8 PM Salisbury to the Beaches

Local Weather Stats: Thursday June 2, 2019 in Baltimore

Average High:  79ºF

Record High: 96ºF in 1923

Average  Low: 58ºF

Record Low:  44ºF in 1993

Sunrise: 5:41 AM

Sunset 8:27 PM  

*Daylight = 1:06 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 73ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 

Weather Forecast Below 

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Local Look Today

Severe Storm Risk

Radar Simulation —> slider

• This is the best ‘suggestion’ of how the storms will play out.
• Last week this model was was behind about 1 hour with storm projection. We need to watch development today update or ‘nowcast’

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Temperatures

Sunday High Temperatures

Monday Low Temperatures

Monday High Temperatures

Temperature Outlook

Temps will warm next weekend, but the modeling may be having trouble with the temperatures beyond then.  See the jet stream outlook below.

Cool June

The Jet Stream (500 mb Heigh Anomaly) shows a primarily cool pattern for the next two weeks. We will have a warm up next weekend, but the main flow of air from central Canada appears to be with us as shown in blue through June 18.

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