Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 12/01/2023 03:20:03 pm


Cloudy with Light Rain


Dew Point
Relative Humidity


Feels Like


Wind (N)


Air Pressure


Sun Rise

07:06 AM

Sun Set

04:44 PM

Day Length

09:38 Hours


1 min 14 sec loss

Moon Rise

08:34 PM

Moon Set

11:09 AM

Next: Last Quarter

Dec 05,2023

Moon Phase

Waning Gibbous

Average Low



Average High
Record Low




Record High

November 17 Mild Day Then Colder Weekend And More Needed Rain On The Way Before Thanksgiving

Maryland Weather
climate data
air quality
rain timeline

November 17, 2023

Friday Morning Update

Our area is experiencing both a drought and some smoke from wildfires in the mountains. It was more prevalent yesterday, and some of that pollution has mixed with pockets of fog this morning. 

A cold front is on the way tonight. The rain will fall apart, but the winds will shift as the cold arrives from the Northwest. 

Needed rain is on the way with a larger storm early next week. At this time it looks like a Tuesday and Wednesday event, then turning much colder for Thanksgiving.

Wildfire Photos


Moderate to Poor Air Quality

The wildfires have sent smoke into Maryland and some particles may be mixing with the fog again this morning. 

November 17 air quality smoke

Drought Report

Click to see the breakdown per state.

November 16 drought Mid Atlantic


Morning Surface Weather

Smoke is still an issue in the Virginia mountains. While there are pockets of fog this morning, more clouds will dominate the afternoon ahead of the cold front. This will not bring much rain, but some showers overnight. 

The coastal storm east of Florida is not going to link up with the cold front, rather it will push farther east. 

November 17 weather Friday morning


Afternoon Temperatures 

November 17 weather temperatures Friday afternoon

Radar Simulation 6 PM Fri to 6 AM Sat

The cold front will arrive overnight. Some rain showers are possible, but this system will be falling apart. 


El Niño Winter Updates

Computer Models Support East Coast Storm Track

Winter Precipitation El Nino CFSv2 Model


El Niño Advisory

The latest NOAA report is confident in a Very Strong event. Possibly HISTORIC! This refers to the temperatures in the Pacific, with impacts on the US Winter Storm Track.

El Nino November 2023 




TODAY November 17

Sunrise at 6:52 AM

Sunset at 4:51 PM

Normal Low in Baltimore:  36ºF

Record 20ºF in 1996

Normal High in Baltimore: 57ºF

Record 75ºF 1896; 1928



Winter Outlook Reports:

Winter Weather Folklore: Top 20 and more signals from nature for snow.


NOAA’s Winter Outlook 2024


Winter Outlook 2024 From Two Farmers Almanacs Return to Cold and Snow



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Saturday Morning

November 17 weather temperatures Saturday morning


Saturday Afternoon

November 17 weather temperatures Saturday afternoon


Holiday Storm Simulation

Tuesday Morning

Still a hint of a wintry start inland… I would focus more on the rain event and timing. 

November 17 weather storm Tuesday Morning


Tuesday Morning to Thanksgiving Morning

This continues to look like mostly a Tuesday to Wednesday event. It will be followed by cold and dry winds for Thanksgiving.

November 17 weather storm Thanksgiving travel



Tuesday Evening 

November 17 weather storm Tuesday night

Wednesday Morning

This big travel day will begin with heavy rain across the Eastern US. A wintry mix will fall over interior New England.

November 17 weather storm Wednesday morning


Wednesday Evening

Clearing out and turning much colder.

Snow will fall in the western Maryland mountains.

November 17 weather storm Wednesday night



The latest run of the GFS Model (most consistent) pushes over 2 inches of rain for much of our region. That would help put a dent in our drought.

November 17 weather rainfall Thanksgiving


Jet Stream: Tuesday to Thanksgiving 

Here we can see the brief mild push ahead of the storm and then the collapse with arctic air behind it.

November 17 weather jet stream Thanksgiving


Snapshot Thanksgiving: Much Colder!

November 17 weather jet stream Thanksgiving


7 Day Forecast 

Most of the week ahead will bring us near or below seasonal temperatures.  

November 17 weather forecast 7 day

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Explore More

Maryland Snow Climate History And Other Winter Pages

Faith in the Flakes Gear


STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back

Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school



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I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.  There has been no editor who can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm.