April 4 Warming Up For Us And Another Severe Storm Outbreak In Midwest
April 4, 2023
Tuesday Morning
If you liked the weather yesterday, you may love what the next two days have in store. As a strong storm complex develops again across the central US, we will be on the calm and warm side. Temps will jump into the 70s, with a chance for near 80ºF today and tomorrow.
The conditions in the central US are likely to spawn a tornado outbreak this afternoon and evening. Much like last week, when it reaches us it will weaken significantly but it is still worth watching as the timing lines up with the Baltimore Orioles home opener Thursday.
Morning Surface Weather
Warm air will be streaming in today and tomorrow. It may feel like late spring for us, while the worst is expected again between metro Chicago to Little Rock, Arkansas.
Atmospheric Memory
The comparison of The NOAA Severe Storm Outlook last week to this event is eerily similar.
Storm forecast maps below.
I need someone to calculate the odds of this. pic.twitter.com/VyIkcShNkL
— Deran Hall 🌩📸 (@Deranphoto) April 3, 2023
REPORT: EF-3 Tornado Confirmed in DE The Strongest Since 1961
Morning Temperatures
Already comfortable 50s, setting us up for the warm afternoon.
Afternoon Temperatures
With the wind shift and sunshine, temps will reach the 70s, to near 80ºF.
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Sign up and be the first to know!CLIMATE DATA
TODAY April 4
Normal Low in Baltimore: 40ºF
Record 20ºF in 1965
SNOW: 1.5” in 1944
Normal High in Baltimore: 62ºF
Record 86ºF in 2011
REPORTS:
Winter 2023 Recap: My BUSTED Snow Outlook
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Wednesday Morning Temperatures
Wednesday Afternoon Temperatures
NOAA Severe Storm Outlook
The Storm Prediction Center is showing storms reaching Maryland, but I DO NOT see it on the model guidance.
Storm Forecast Animation
Tuesday evening to Thursday evening.
NOAA Severe Storm Outlook: Thursday
Thunderstorms in a broad area, but NOTE that this line of rain will be weaker than what we see erupt today.
Thursday Afternoon Snapshot
I would never promise weather two days away, but there is an 80% chance there will be rain and perhaps thunderstorms during the afternoon. It is likely there will be some impact on the Orioles’ Opening Day.
7 Day Forecast
After two very warm days, that severe storm line will arrive (in a weakened form) on Thursday. This may play a role in the Orioles baseball home opener in Baltimore.
Easter Weekend will be cooler but sunny and quiet.
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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos, and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes, and even the computer glitches I may miss.
I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:
I have dyslexia, and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing, and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki and he was absolutely correct!
I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect predicting the future.
All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There has been no editor that can check my work when I needed it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos, when she is able. That could be AFTER you read this.
I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…
It’s part of my charm.
#FITF