March 17, 2023
Friday Morning
Happy St. Patrick’s Day! If nothing else we have been consistent, but perhaps the Irish luck may change this pattern. We have continued all winter to have a warm Thursday, followed by some sort of weather event Friday into a windy and colder Saturday. That’s our story again and I have the details plus live radar widget.
The colder weekend will have a few mornings to follow below freezing, so that may impact the early spring blooms.
Spring will officially begin on Monday.
The morning is damp north of Baltimore into southern PA. That first round of rain will move through early, then the next wave of rain will arrive for many of us within an hour or two of noon.
Periods of rain: The rain will last for a few hours, then a lull, then more this evening and tonight. See the simulation below.
Behind this front will be colder air and strong winds. That will bring snow to the mountains and perhaps the Clipper will bring a snow shower into the metro area Saturday night.
11 AM to 10 PM
Will be cooler when the rain falls
Normal Low in Baltimore: 34ºF
Record 15ºF in 1900
SNOW: 5.0” in 1931
Normal High in Baltimore: 55ºF
Record 85ºF in 1945
Heat Wave: This was part of a 2-Day period in 1945 with temps in the mid 80s
March Snow and Extreme Weather History
https://justinweather.com/2023/02/28/march-snow-history-the-madness-of-weather-potential-this-month/
Colder
8 AM to 8 PM
Saturday Night
If we get snow showers, they will be brief. The potential timing would be 8 PM to midnight.
This weekend will be windy and chilly!
A few mornings below freezing! Then sunny and quiet most of next week.
My REALISTIC Expectations for the COLD OUTLOOK
Winter History: Low Snow And Late Starts
See my research based on Baltimore data since 1883.
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos, and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes, and even the computer glitches I may miss.
I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:
I have dyslexia, and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing, and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki and he was absolutely correct!
I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect predicting the future.
All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There has been no editor that can check my work when I needed it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos, when she is able. That could be AFTER you read this.
I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…
It’s part of my charm.
#FITF
Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school
I see many factors to support colder influence with multiple systems. Early and later in winter. Check it out. https://justinweather.com/2022/11/22/winter-outlook-2023-for-snow-not-typical-la-nina-plus-polar-vortex-disruption/
Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs
https://justinweather.com/2022/09/09/winter-outlook-2023-la-nina-triple-dip-expectations/
If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season. https://justinweather.com/2022/08/31/record-august-for-no-named-tropical-storms-closer-look-at-snow-following/
https://justinweather.com/2022/10/25/winter-weather-outlook-from-the-wooly-bear-caterpillar/
