Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 04/25/2024 03:20:03 am
Temperature

54°

Mostly Clear

43°

Dew Point
Relative Humidity

66%

Feels Like

54°

Wind (NE)

6mph

Air Pressure

30.15

Sun
Sun Rise

06:14 AM

Sun Set

07:54 PM

Day Length

13:40 Hours

Difference

2 min 18 sec gain

Moon
Moon Rise

10:02 PM

Moon Set

06:52 AM

Next: Last Quarter

May 01,2024

Moon Phase

Waning Gibbous

Climate
Average Low

46°

68°

Average High
Record Low

30°


(1956)

94°


(1960)
Record High
Conditions

Summer NorEaster For New England Will Try To Send Showers To Maryland And Beach Rip Currents

Coastal Storm
Storm Forecast
Maryland Weather

August 16 2022

Tuesday Evening Update

As we enter the second half of August, we should be talking about the tropics heating up. But as of today, there is no activity in the Atlantic. If this holds, then we could have the first August with no hurricanes since 2013.

Instead, we are talking about a Nor’easter for New England. It’s not a major storm, but definitely a beach disruption which will try to have the typical wider spread impact across the region. A landfall north of Boston, but wrap around showers will try to drop south into Maryland Wednesday evening. 

 

Tuesday Night Surface Weather

Here is the developing Low Pressure taking form southeast of Boston. This storm is occurring, cutting off from the upper level flow, which will allow it to drift back northwest into Maine Wednesday night into Thursday morning. 

 

Also See: Tuesday Evening The Last 8 PM Sunset Of The Year

 

Storm Forecast Animation

GFS Model 8 PM Tuesday to 8 AM Thursday 

This looks like a landfall near Bangor, Maine on Thursday morning.

August 17 weather nor'easter coastal storm forecast Wednesday

Wind Forecast

8 AM Wednesday to 8 AM Thursday 

The wind machine will be tightly wrapped around the Low across Long Island to coastal New England.

Some brisk winds along the Delmarva beaches may be 10 to 20 mph from the Northeast. This will stir up rip currents from Rehoboth to Ocean City.

Nor'easter wind forecast Wedesday August 17

Wednesday Evening Snapshot

8 PM Here the GFS shows Low Pressure east of Boston and Cape Cod. The wrap around winds will drop a shield of rain with temps in the 50s.  That is far from late summer weather.

The larger upper level winds will bring a disturbance across south center Pennsylvania and north central Maryland.

 

 

Closer Look 

A band of rain will try to form and spread across York to metro Baltimore. 

 

Let me back up for a moment….

Afternoon temps should reach the upper 70s to lower 80s in the afternoon. But that does depend on the cloud cover and if the timing follows our recent trend and arrive earlier than the models show.

 

Early Afternoon Temperatures 

Temps will drop with the clouds and rain from the north… Then a chilly hint of fall may return to the air.

 

Wind Forecast 

The disturbance we expect will be marked by a wind boundary. 

 

Local Rain Simulation 

NAM 3 Km: Wednesday 2 PM to 10 PM

This is likely to be a mid afternoon to early evening event. Under normal circumstances, this might just be presumed to be cooling late day showers.

However, I wanted to show how this is connected to the bigger story of the coastal storm in New England.

 

August 17 weather rain simulation Wednesday

What does this mean?

We will watch for increasing clouds and a band of rain or even thunderstorms FROM THE NORTH any time after 2 PM into the evening.

This will end at night and much less influence on Thursday should return nicer weather for a couple of days.

 

Rainfall Through Thursday

Those that get rain locally will be around 1/4 to 1/2 inch.

The real event will be eastern New England. Between Cape Cod and coastal Maine there may be 2 to over 4 inches of rain with the little Nor’ester. 

 

I will have a more detailed timeline in my Wednesday morning update. See you then.

 

NOTICE: Maryland Trek 9 was a HUGE Success!

The team, support crew, and YOU!

Thank you! We have raised OVER $112,600  (so far). We still have more to add in, and will continue to accept donations into our final total until Sunday.

You may notice a video player at the top of this page.  I put all of our individual daily recap reels in there, just in case you wanted to see them.  One final recap will be ready shortly.

Cancer Can Succit- THE SHIRT

By Popular Demand and Supporting Just In Power Kids

This is the shirt that Power Kid James and his family has embraced… They even surprised us with this sign during our Kids Trek Too event.

It is now available!

 

 

Connect With A Health Coach

From My Maryland Trek Team

Click the image or here for more info

 

 

 

Hurricane Season Forecast: June 1 Through November 30

NOAA 2022 Hurricane Forecast- Above Normal Again

 

 

Forecast From Colorado State University

Atlantic Hurricane Forecast

 

Related Posts

 

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Atlantic Tropical History: Maps of Origin Regions Every 10 Days

13_Tropical Storm Formation Sep11_20

 

 

Recent Storm Reports

May 22 Hail And Wind Damage

May 16 Large Hail Videos And Storm Tracking Map

Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/videos, or just keep in touch via social media

Facebook: Justin Berk, Meteorologist

Twitter: @JustinWeather

Instagram: justinweather

 

 

*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:

I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell.  It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. 

I do miss mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. 

All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. 

There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. 

I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…

It’s part of my charm.