Bitter Cold May End With Some Snow Friday Then Wet Weekend

Bitter Cold May End With Some Snow Friday Then Wet Weekend

Tuesday March 5 2019

Is March the new winter? In 2014, we set the coldest March temperature on record in Baltimore with s low of 4ºF on March 4.  That was the year The Polar Vortex became a household name.  The last three years we have had our largest winter storms of the season. On this date in 2015 we set the daily snowfall record in Baltimore with 6.2″.  These events brought between 1 and 2 feet of snow to the northern counties.

This morning we start in the teens and twenties. I have seen a few reports of single digits in York County, even though not showing on this map.  It will be colder tomorrow.

 

Here we are in a bitterly cold air mass that will last all week. Not many records expected, it it will feel like it.  This will improv e by Friday as a weak system will mark the shift in upper level winds. There is a chance for snow, but timing in March makes a big deal and I don’t think it will be a travel issue.  However it will be followed by a lot of rain to close out the weekend. As my mother would say, pick your poison.

Local Weather Stats For March 5, 2019 in Baltimore

Average High:  50ºF

Record High: 83ºF in 1976

Average  Low: 30ºF

Record Low:  10ºF in 1873

                         *Record Snow:  = 6.2″ in 2015

Sunrise: 6:33 AM

Sunset 6:02 PM 

*Daylight = 2:33 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 39ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 

 

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This Afternoon 

 

Colder By Wednesday Morning

 

Wednesday Afternoon 

 

 

Looking Ahead:

The chance of snow Friday will be light, but also the timing likely to limit any impact on roads. If you want snow, you would want this to speed up and arrive before sunrise. Then a larger rain storm will soak us on Sunday.

 

Closer Look at Friday:

The GFS Model has the chance for some snow in the mountains early… but when it spreads into metro areas during the day.. it will compete with warming temperatures and stronger sun angle.

 

 

 

The European Model is slower…

This brings the snow in later in the day… which allows the cold air to retreat even more.

 

Either solution does not portray much of a snow impact. But it will be watched all week. Then we can shift our focus on the thaw.

 

Temperature Outlook 

After multiple nights in the deep freeze, the warming over the weekend will come with the rain… and peak Sunday or Monday. Then followed by cooling, but not nearly as cold.

 

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Related Links:

Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Was Your County Not Included?

Click this map for more on the regional forecast zones

Interactive Snow Report

November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast

Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years 

Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore

 

Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?

 

Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History

March 5th, 2019|Tags: , , , |