More Ice Tonight But Will Temps Keep It Frozen In The Morning

More Ice Tonight But Will Temps Keep It Frozen In The Morning

February 20 2019

The Winter Storm Warning and Winter Weather Advisory in place locally until 1 AM accounts for more freezing rain. We can see that on the radar tonight. Many schools have already called a 2 hour delay for Thursday morning. But if you have to head to work, what will the conditions be when you wake up? We will be within a degree or two of freezing and that can make a big difference between icy or wet.

It’s important to note that even when temps warm above freezing, there is ice left over that takes time to melt. Also, the ice on the trees will likely melt, break, and fall off once the sun hits it in the morning. That will create another issue of falling debris regardless of how warm it will be.

Radar Tonight

More light freezing rain will be adding to the layer of crust on everything in the frozen zones.

 

 

Temperatures at 10 PM

The freezing line is through central Maryland. All locations at 32ºF are on the edge and not promised to be icy, but can’t be promised to be wet either.

Baltimore Weather Conditions at BWI

  • Temperature = 32ºF
  • Dew Point = 32ºF
  • Relative Humidity = 100%
  • Wind:NE at 5 mph

 

There is ice accumulating on trees, cars, elevated platforms, etc. But road conditions depend on salting and location. It’s possible to turn the corner and temps drop just a little to turn more icy.

 

What will happen by morning?

Under normal circumstances, a degree or two would not make a difference, but here we see a little spread on the modeling at 6 AM.

NAM 3 Km– Keeps the northern zones icy. But warms BWI and southward.

 

GFS Model is warmer and brings most areas into the thaw. With the exception of Hagerstown.

 

HRRR Model —> slider

I like the behavior of this model, plus we can track the hourly temps to show the big thaw.  Watch the jump to near 50ºF by noon.

 

I will have an early report on the conditions. See you then

 

ALL FITF  Apparel 

 

Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media

 

 

Keep In Touch Every Day

Just in case you don’t get all posts on your social media feed, stay up to date with the latest info…

Click here to sign up for email alerts…. Be the first to hear any new weather.

 


New Partner

Buchanan Kia of Westminster is a supporter of Just In Power Kids and Maryland Trek 6 in August 2019.


 

 

 

New Colors

We are giving 10% of each sale to Just In Power Kids: Providing FREE holistic care for pediatric oncology patients.

 

 

Related Links:

Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Interactive Snow Report

November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast

Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years 

Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore

 

Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?

 

Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History

 

February 20th, 2019|