Florence A Tropical Storm Drifting South Then Curves Back To Bring Us Rain Next Week

Florence A Tropical Storm Drifting South Then Curves Back To Bring Us Rain Next Week


Saturday September 15 2018

Tropical Storm Florence is located west of Myrtle Beach in South Carolina this morning but the wind flow continues to pump the heaviest rain and ocean water into North Carolina.  As the storm crawls and hits the same areas today, we are watching some dry air try to erode away the clouds on the north side. Yes, some parts of our area will get sun today making for the nicer weather I suggested this weekend.

We are still watching the forecast curve Florence back around to bring us rain Monday and Tuesday. The long rang outlook shows a cool down and pattern change with a hint of autumn coming our way.

Local Weather Stats For September 15 in Baltimore

Average High:  78ºF

Record High: 97ºF in 1927

Average  Low: 58ºF

Record Low: 40ºF in 1873

Sunrise: 6:47 AM

Sunset 7:14 PM

*Daylight = 2:32 shorter than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 75ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 

 

Also see:

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Video of Hurricane Hunter flying into the Eye and first call for track shifting 

Wind and Storm Surge Expectations

 

Hurricane Florence Satellite Loop

 

 

Local Cloud Forecast –> slider

This is a product from the HRRR Mode showing the dry air trying to filter in from the north. The sky should turn partly to mostly sunny in southern PA and I expect sun to break between the clouds in central Maryland and northern Delaware.

 

Local Winds

The dry air is filtering on NE winds, but they are relatively light. The strongest winds on in southern Maryland and Southeast VA with gusts over 20 mph.

 

Hurricane Florence Radar Loop

 

The National Hurricane Center forecast does continue to show the drift to the west and then curving up the Appalachians. This will bring rain our way Monday and Tuesday

 

Local Rain Expectation

This afternoon

The Northern band of Florence is accepted to be in southern Virginia.

 

 

 

Sunday Evening

The rain begins to show a push to the north into the mountains of West Virginia and showers in western Maryland.

 

Monday Morning

Rainfall should be back onto central Maryland with more on the way. Our rain from Florence will last two days with the heaviest on Tuesday

 

 

Rain Animation

The remnant Low of Florence will pass to our north. We will get some heavy downpours and a small chance of severe storms Tuesday evening.

 

Rain Forecast (5 Days)

Much of our area is in for 0.50 to over 1 inch in the mountains. The bulk of this will be Monday and Tuesday in Maryland and PA

 

Temperature Outlook

The next sign of a pattern change will be next weekend. The longer range jet stream looks like we get into the cool stuff for the last week of September. But first we need Florence to depart.

 

 

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September 15th, 2018|Tags: , , , , |