Perfect Weather To Pouring Rain And Pattern Change

Perfect Weather To Pouring Rain And Pattern Change

Thursday July 19 2018

The weather today is nearly ideal for mid summer with sun, low humidity, and warm temperatures in the mid 80s.  We will have that again Friday, then a abrupt change. A storm will form off the coast and roll by Ocean City on Saturday. There will be heavy rain at the beaches and possibly across Delmarva. This depends on the storm track, but it has been trending closer. Following this will be a stuck pattern with multiple waves of storm and almost daily rain through all of next week.

At this time the rain fall outlook is very wet! Local areas may exceed what is suggest in this first map as there will be pockets of heavy downpours that may hit some spots more than others spanning the week. This will raise our risk for flooding once again.

Here is a look at today’s stats and the outlook through next week.  Beyond Sunday the timing is subject to change. The general theme however has us with a chance of rain each day with no specific time.  Just a very active weather pattern.

Stats For July 19 in Baltimore

Average High:  87ºF

Record High: 103ºF in 1930

Average  Low: 67ºF

Record Low: 57ºF in 2009

Sunrise: 5:55 AM

Sunset 8:29 PM

*Daylight = 1:28 shorter than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 80ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House

 

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Morning Set Up

 

High Temperatures Today 

High Temperatures Friday

 

 

Weekend Rain: Starts Saturday

The NAM 3 Km Model shows the showers arriving in the morning, with heavy rain building at the beaches mid day through the afternoon

—> slider

 

Storm Outlook

The timing and proximity to the coast is still up for debate, but here we see the Canadian GEM (similar to the Euro) and GFS both close enough

 

 

Storm Animation

This outlook on the GFS Model is the consensus of rain chances each day through next week.

 

Active Jet Stream

 

Temperature Outlook

 

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July 19th, 2018|Tags: , , , , |