Mostly Dry Weekend As Heat Builds But How Hot?

Mostly Dry Weekend As Heat Builds But How Hot?

Saturday June 16 2018

This will be our first weekend since April without significant rain. However there is a chance of showers on Fathers Day the farther west you go. I have highlighted the spots below.   The main weather issue will be the temperatures. Heat will continue to build and we should have three days into the 90s, but how hot?

 

Stats For June 16 in Baltimore

Average High:  83ºF

Record High: 99ºF in 1991

Average  Low: 62ºF

Record Low: 50ºF in 1961

Sunrise: 5:39 AM

Sunset 8:34 PM

*Daylight = 0:16 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 71ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House

 

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Morning Set Up

Michigan is a prime area for storms that will send high clouds our way. So the sun may dim behind a veil of thin cirrus clouds this afternoon or evening.

Morning Temperatures

 

Afternoon High Temperatures

Fathers Day High Temperatures

 

Fathers Day Showers

I mentioned the weekend will be ‘mostly dry’. That means most of our region. Western Maryland will have some morning showers on Sunday that could drop into West Virginia. The afternoon will feature a cluster of storms west of Washington DC dropping through northern Virginia.

 

 

 

Temperature Outlooks

Here are the two main model projections for temperatures in Baltimore at BWI. The GFS has been running too warm, while the European Model has been too cool. So we should verify somewhere in the middle…. The Goldie Locks Zone still puts us in the 90s for three days, if we hit that mark open Fathers Day..

 

European Model

 

GFS Model

 

Rain Outlook

Showers with the cold front arrive Tuesday and Wednesday

 

 

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June 16th, 2018|Tags: , , , , |