Rain Outlook This Weekend And Sub Tropical Storm Alberto Has Formed

Rain Outlook This Weekend And Sub Tropical Storm Alberto Has Formed

Saturday May 26 2018

As you may have noticed, there are some more clouds this morning along with a little more heat and humidity. This will seem like a typical summer like day, with highs in the mid 80s to near 90ºF. We do have the chance of showers and thunderstorms developing after 4 PM. The same will be the case Sunday, so our Memorial Day Weekend weather is not perfect. The one difference in this outlook is Sun-Tropical Storm Alberto. This is the newly named storm in the Gulf of Mexico. As of early this morning, winds were 40 mph and it is moving to the N at 9 mph. The formation of this storm has adjusted the larger moisture flow into our area. We will still have rain to deal with, but primarily in the afternoon and evenings.

At this point it looks like Alberto will make more of a direct impact on our region by Thursday and Friday next week.

Here is a quick look at the maps and animations. I hope to be able to spend a little more time later for a more detailed breakdown.

 

Stats For May 26 in Baltimore

Average High:  77ºF

Record High: 97ºF in 1914

Average  Low: 55ºF

Record Low: 41ºF in 1967

Sunrise: 5:44 AM

Sunset 8:212PM

*Daylight = 1:24 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 69ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House

This Morning

 

 

Rain Animation (HRRR) 4 PM to Midnight

Developing storms mid afternoon expanded to broader rain tonight. 

 

 

Rain Animation Sunday (NAM 3 Km) 4 PM to Midnight)

Stronger to severe storms possible between 6 and 10 PM

 

Sub Tropical Storm Alberto

This is not a full fledged typical system based on the structure, but it is expected to moved over warmer water AND have a favorable upper level environment to develop this weekend. This Water Vapor Satellite Animation has the Flood Watches overlaid to show the most prone heavy rain areas… This is much of central Florida, the western panhandle, and into Louisiana, including New Orleans.

 

Computer Model Forecast Tracks

At this point it looks like Alberto will make more of a direct impact on our region by Thursday and Friday next week.

 

Sea Surface Temperatures 

Warmer water will bring more energy into development before reaching the coast.

 

 

Forecast Map- National Hurricane Center

 

Forecast Winds – National Hurricane Center

 

 

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