3:30 PM While the winds have increased along with the humidity, the line of strong and severe storms during the afternoon was still well to our west. As of this post time, there were no ‘watches’ posted for our immediate region, yet. But a Tornado Watch did include a large portion of Pennsylvania But the most active time frame will be this evening and tonight. In the effort of just getting right to it, here are two high resolution models to compare for the radar simulation.
There will be some rogue showers this afternoon that could be severe thanks to the heat of the day, but the front will pass metro Baltimore/York around midnight. South of there, the chance of storms will be much less. The HRRR Model has had some problems lately, so let’s start with the NAM 3KM Model and include more of Pennsylvania where the action will be most intense:
—> sliders: Radar Simulation
NAM 3KM Model
Notice two bands of rain, with the more intense line waiting until midnight to cross the heart of our region and diminish. This may be another case there the storms hit north and west of Baltimore/Washington, leaving a good chunk of central Maryland out of the main action. The front may flare up again for Salisbury and Ocean City before dawn Tuesday.
Should any watches or warnings be issued, please consider this:
Storm Smart: My STEM Assembly Program
Click here to see the details and how this educational program is also a fundraiser for schools. We can start scheduling for May now.
Get the award winning Kid Weather App I made with my oldest son and support our love for science, weather, and technology. Our 3 year anniversary of the release and our contribution to STEM education is this November. It has been downloaded in 60 countries, and works in both temperature scales. With your support we can expand on the fun introduction to science and real weather.
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Faith in the Flakes
The store is closing for the season. Next week we wil be shifting back to spring mode. This will include a severe weather STEM assembly program.
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