Monday January 9 – This afternoon update on a cold day will be brief, but serves a few purposes. It was 25°F at 1 PM in Baltimore and may seen like a waste of cold air with warm rain in the way. There is potential ice on Tuesday, followed but a big time warm up into the 60s this week, with rain. Then, another winter event next weekend has the threat of more ice. It is too early to pin anything down. That is just how weather works with the chaos theory at its foundation. So there is not way to tell precisely what time it will start or how much ice you will get, if you get it at all. This is just an outlook to lay the foundation of what to watch this week. It will be a very volatile week with big changes, but what else would we expect. If out was easy to pin down, it would be boring.
There has been a lot of chatter about ice on Tuesday, but I think the cart got before the horse. Some TV forecasts had mentioned ice, and I think a lot of people ran with it. The main thing I have been seeing is ‘maybe’ north and west… but most of the central and southern Maryland/Delmarva areas would not be affected. I have been telling my clients the location should be mostly north, and the timing later in the day helps east impact on roads. Northern Carroll and Baltimore counties in Maryland and southern PA may have just a little bit. Here are the maps showing just that, and also the chance of rain just about every day this week… That will be the price tag off the warm up.