Friday January 6 – The first wave of snow is done and brought just about what was expected. A general 1 to 2 inches fell but metro Baltimore ended up with less than 1 inch. It ended early, and with exception of the northern edge most roads are fine. School delays were in place for Carroll, northern Baltimore, and York Counties where uptown 2 inches fell.. This may seem like a cruel trick for snow lovers was the next storm will hit south of Baltimore, but central Maryland will be on north edge with a chance of ‘some’ snow. This will be a southern hit as a Winter Storm Warning is in effect for Ocean City, Salisbury, all the way south to Atlanta. Southern Maryland could be in for 3 to 6 inches of snow…. Some of the southern states could see up to a foot of snow.
*Note: Here is the preliminary snow report for this first wave… the fact that Baltimore got less than 1 inch is a signal that the upper level energy was a little farther north than expected… All it takes is 50-100 miles to make that kind a difference here and perhaps for the next event.
But will that impact our region? As I suggested the past two days, there has been signs of this creeping north. Timing the energy aloft is important as the strong jet stream will be diving south. An earlier arrival will allow this storm to pass closer before the dive. Later timing will get shoved south….
Here we see the water vapor satellite showing the push to the east and the forecast dip. But the indications show more of a track to the east. As I continue to show models that have shifted the edge of snow on Saturday farther north, watch the weather in Atlanta. They can see anywhere between 3 and 10 inches of snow. A big range, depending on which model you watch… but would be a signal of the storm track. Less snow for Atlanta would mean a better chance for snow in Washington and Baltimore.
All of the snow projections are below the sliders