Friday December 9 – You will feel it for sure as you step outside this morning. At 6 AM Baltimore’s BWI was down to 28°F with a wind chill of 17°F. The first taste of arctic air has arrived. Gusts today could reach 30 mph, keeping the wind chill in the 20s through the afternoon. A small chance of a flurry flying as well. The wind will ease a little, but it will remain cold this weekend for the Army Navy game in Baltimore and the arrival of light snow on Sunday.
The first part of the next storm is still on, but the impact should be small, and confined on the northern side of our region. Flurries and light snow will move in on Sunday, but the track to our north means warmer air builds in and the storm will bring in rain. The question is how much cold air will linger Sunday night and if a wintry, icy mix could linger. This is where the Canadian Model holds the cold longer with a storm track farther south than the warmer GFS Model. Both show a second chance of snow in the middle of next week and there are two sliders below to show each. This will be the first test for the model behavior this season. But the pattern itself will turn colder and remain active. There is plenty of time to get a White Christmas if that’s what you want.
First Event: Sunday/Monday
Canadian GEM Model (colder solution) —> slider
Light snow or flurries moves earlier on Sunday. Any chance of stickage towards Sunday evening and at night. The best chance will be west and north of I-95… more likely farther inland away from the Bay. The icy part all depends on the track of the storm for how long the cold will hold.