May 21 2016 – The rain is here this morning, as expected. It has made for a soaker for some running events and the start of Preakness Day in Baltimore. But this also raises the issues that 100% chance of rain does not always mean 100% of the day. There is a storm passing to our south, and as it moves off the coast will keep us in a chilly northeast wind gusting to 20 mph. But the steadiest rain should break up after this morning. Below are two model simulations showing the best and worst case scenario for the afternoon rain. If the kids are crazy from being stuck inside and the full moon, hang in there… We are still in for a big time warm up this week and it should feel like summer for Memorial Day Weekend.
Radar Simulation —> sliders
Best Case Scenario: HRRR Model
Rain beaks up with a dry pocket over central Maryland during the afternoon. But a few isolated showers possible with steady rain remaining in the mountains.