Full Moon And Saturday Storm: Preakness Rain Timeline

Full Moon And Saturday Storm: Preakness Rain Timeline

May 20 2016 – Today may be the nicest weather day of the month so far. In fact it will close to a trifecta that I feel the need to warn teachers about. It is Friday, with sunshine in the 70s, and almost a full moon. That will surely make the kids a little extra wild at school. You have been warned. But the moon will officially be full on Saturday, and if you have followed this theory of mine, that could maximize the potential of the storm on the way.  Saturday will be a soaker, but it appears the heaviest rain will be in the morning to mid day. That impacts the St. Michaels Half Marathon starting at 7:15 AM, and the entire running festival. It will also make for a muddy track at Pimlico much of the day, but an improvement for the evening Preakness Stakes set for a 6:45 PM post time. Here’s a look at the maps.. and some showers could linger Sunday.

Preakness Day Rain Timeline –> slider


  • Heaviest Rain- Morning to mid day
  • Rain total up to 1 inch
  • Afternoon improvement as storm pulls away
  • Chilly winds
  • High Temperatures: Upper 50s would make for 8 days this month and a new record for Baltimore

High Temperature Map

Screen Shot2016-05-20 05_42_18

Storm Track –> slider


  • Storm track on GFS is a little south of the NAM Model above bringing heaviest rain to Ocean City/VA Beach
  • Slow departure off coast, but storm keeps moving away Sunday
  • Sunday Showers: Upper level pattern and cool winds will develop more clouds and afternoon showers.


Temperature Outlook

A big warm up next week leading into Memorial Day Weekend

Screen Shot2016-05-20 05_40_33


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