Tuesday March 2 – We had rain overnight that is already moving away. Strong winds and colder air today has already opened up the Lake Effect snow inland. This will set up the cold air blocking pattern to help the next system produce snow, but now we get to the question about what will stick. This is not a standard snow plot. While the arrival Thursday night will help stickage, the marginal temperatures and snow falling during the day Friday will not all pile up. There will be snowflakes wasted to melting and cooling down the ground. Please see the model maps below and note that the ‘potential snow’ is not what will lay and stay. My first call map below is my first call including what I feel most confident showing now. The event is still about two days away.
One storm moving out to the north, two part transition event Thursday-Friday, then a clipper with flurries this weekend.