Storm Track For Second Week Of December

Storm Track For Second Week Of December

Storm after storm so far this season has had some relation to El Nino. It has been expected to be quite active, and my winter outlook plus a few others have suggested our winter in the east would be delayed.  Just because the only winter weather we can seem to get are frosty mornings, does not mean we will stay snow free for months.  But this month, at least for a few more weeks will remain mild. The coastal storm I mentioned last week, will still develop. In fact, there will be two of them. However, they are also following the pattern I have been pointing out for months: Trending farther east than first mentioned. So we end up with the ‘miss’ for now. If you are weary for snow, a mild December does not promise a snow-less winter. There are many signs continuing to suggest the second part of winter will be very different.

Check this out:

Do you remember a coastal storm I mentioned last week? This is what that storm looked like when I first mentioned it… At the time it was a 6 day forecast. Note, I wanted to follow this because of the pattern I had been pointing out for a few month… The trend of storms to end up farther east than first forecast in part due to faster upper level winds influenced by the El Nino:

Screen Shot2015-12-03 05_55_34

 

This is the same storm, on the right was the last image I showed on Friday.  On the left, the latest forecast… farther east.

ComparingStormTrack

 

Why point out something that will not hit us? Two reasons: 1) To highlight the error with long range forecast, so when the next event appears to impact us, we can adjust accordingly. 2) To reinforce the current pattern. There will be two storms this week, following the same ‘out to sea’ fate shown in this slider.  Note that there is another storm expected next weekend. I want to see the trend before showing that, as it looks like rain, ending with a brief visit of colder air.


Temperatures: Still No Major Cold Outbreaks In Sight

Screen Shot2015-12-06 07_51_11

Faith In The Flakes: It Will Snow… Eventually

See all of our shirt the designs here, hosted by local printing partner Ink Splash in Westminster. Order now to get in on the printing this week and delivery by Christmas.

ShirtsAd1

 

Holiday Spirit Giveback: Faith in the Flakes Christmas Shirts

ChristmasFlakeMy boys and I are rocking our shirts from last year and believe we will see snow this month. It might be hard to imagine with this stretch of rain. We want to spread the joy in a new way. Among the new styles, we have holiday or Christmas colors, and waiting for ours to be printed. We thought it would be great if families would wear these together to open gifts under their trees. In appreciation for your support, we will be using 20% of the proceeds of these holiday shirts to purchase winter coats for kids and donating them before Christmas. The collections from this design will be added up through Dec 21 (official start of winter).

We know Hanukah is this weekend, and there are other holidays you may celebrate. This is the most universal.

Will you join our family with your family?

 

Also see: My Winter Outlook 2015-2016

Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media

Chip KidWxDevicesGet the award winning Kid Weather App I made with my oldest son and support our love for science, weather, and technology. Our 3 year anniversary of the release and our contribution to STEM education is this November. It has been downloaded in 60 countries, and works in both temperature scales. With your support we can expand on the fun introduction to science and real weather.

December 6th, 2015|Tags: , , , |