We’ve turned a corner I believe since the rain ended from the first half of this week. Also with numerous tree lighting ceremonies Thursday night, and now heading into the first weekend of December the thoughts of the holidays are in full swing. Chanukah begins Sunday evening and Christmas is 21 days away, but where is winter? I wrote about the influence of El Nino and the outlook for this month. We get a true sample this weekend and next week to firm up my notes from my winter outlook. Here is a quick look.
This upper level wind map shows High Pressure in control, blocking any storms from getting close. Below is the surface weather map, also showing not only the large ridge, but the heat pump that will be developing and shifting our way.
Coastal Storm Next Week?
Yes and no! I wrote about this a few days ago with the purpose of highlighting the model error I had been showing for a few months. The El Nino pattern in the Pacific has increased the upper level winds, and storms that first show up, are likely to trend farther east when they actually happen. Here you can see that storm will be strong, but jump off of the coast and miss us.