As of 8:20 AM Monday November 9, the National Hurricane Center has named Tropical Storm Kate over the Bahamas. Hurricane Hunter Aircraft found 40 mph winds, supporting evidence for this to be the 11th named storm of the Atlantic 2015 Hurricane Season. This adds credence to atmospheric memory as the location is similar to the Major Hurricane Joaquin and the track well away from the East coast to the east side of Bermuda. It may also lend to the idea of coastal systems getting an extra push to the east from upper level winds in this El Nino year. This is not as intense, but eerily similar to the event at the end of September and early October that included the devastating rain and flooding over South Carolina. Refresh you Hurricane Joaquin memory with the storm post links below.
National Hurricane Center Update:
- LOCATION…24.2N 74.9W ABOUT 40 MI…60 KM ESE OF CAT ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS
- MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
- PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 MPH…24 KM/H MINIMUM
- CENTRAL PRESSURE…1008 MB…29.77 INCHES
The forecast track curves Kate away from the US and to the west side of The Bahamas. This is considered a ‘fish storm’ as it should stay over the water with no landfall. There will be strong waves along the east coast and this could in part influence the current storm from the Gulf coast keeping it farther west. That would disrupt the theory I posed last night of storms passing to our southeast. It is important to consider the impact of all surrounding weather systems with forecasting a future storm track. I will follow up on this storm and the one over the US as well.
Hurricane Joaquin related posts
Remember what it was thought to hit the US?
This one was very wrong…
Tropics: Hurricane Info
2015 Atlantic Storm Names and Forecast History of naming Tropical Storms and Hurricanes Tropical Storm Formation: Origin Maps For Each 10 Days Of Season, Video Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media
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