Erika Forecast: Increase To Hurricane And Near Miami Sunday Night

Erika Forecast: Increase To Hurricane And Near Miami Sunday Night

Screen Shot2015-08-26 06_52_43As of Wednesday morning, Tropical Storm Erika is looks compact and only has sustained winds of 40 mph, the minimum storm strength as it is running into sheer.  Tropical Storm Warnings have been posted from the National Hurricane Center for the northeastern Caribbean islands and slow strengthening expected as the environment looks more favorable over the next few days. Plotting the forecast track for the next 5 days, there is a margin of error based on various computer models and consideration for other weather patterns that could play out differently. With all of that considered, the center does cross the Bahamas towards Miami by Sunday night, but the range extends 240 miles.  The intensity does range from Category 1 or higher by most computer models.

See more forecast images below

Warnings and Watches
Screen Shot2015-08-26 06_58_15A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…

  • Anguilla
  • Saba and St. Eustatius
  • St. Maarten
  • Montserrat
  • Antigua and Barbuda
  • St. Kitts and Nevis
  • Puerto Rico
  • Vieques
  • Culebra
  • U.S. Virgin Islands
  • British Virgin Islands


A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…

  • Guadeloupe
  • St. Martin
  • St. Barthelemy

Advisory

LOCATION…16.1N 56.0W

ABOUT 390 MI…630 KM E OF ANTIGUA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 MPH…30 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1003 MB…29.62 INCHES

 

Forecast Models

 

 

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National Hurricane Center Maps

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Tropical Posts: Hurricane Info

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