Severe Storm Risk July 14 After Same Area Flooded This Morning

Severe Storm Risk July 14 After Same Area Flooded This Morning

Screen Shot2015-07-14 06_02_14Chalk another one up for Atmospheric Memory. Overnight showers and storms led to flash flooding in metro Baltimore in the same general area that was hit hardest in almost every event in June. There has been some variation of about 10 miles.  This time the focus was between Towson and Kingsville, basically around the beltway between I-83 and I-95.  Parts of Parkville received 3 inches of rain, and more is on the way. So flooding is a consideration with the severe storm risk today.

Severe Storm Outlook Maps:

There is a big change in the timing for our storms today. My last report showed mid day and early afternoon, however the energy will split north and south of central Maryland with that cluster of storms.  So early afternoon will be mostly dry with the focus later on. The upper level winds will be more supportive to bring storms our way tonight. At that point we lose the heat of the day but surface winds from the Bay might help support  the system which shows yet another hit on that same local target zone north of Baltimore. The threat for an isolated tornado, large hail, and damaging wind will still be present.

–> Maps Slider (simulated radar below)

 

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Upper Level Winds

The track of storms will be split early, but then become more supportive during the afternoon.

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Morning Radar

Morning Radar

Simulated Radar Through Tonight

 

SEVERE STORM SAFETY POSTS

There may be more showers or a storm on Wednesday, then dry weather will follow with temperatures slightly below normal for the second half of the week. More on that later.

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