Possible Tropical Development Off East Coast: Invest 92L

Possible Tropical Development Off East Coast: Invest 92L

Screen Shot2015-07-12 10_49_56A strong cluster of storms moved off of the North and South Carolina Coast this weekend. It was on the south side of the rain that fell on Ocean City Maryland Saturday morning but moved away.  Now that system is showing signs of its circulation feeding off of the warm Gulf Stream water and could develop into the third named tropical storm in the Atlantic this season.  All of the action has been in the Pacific, and we do expect a low season locally thanks to the building El Nino. While the prospects given by the National Hurricane Center are only 20%, the modeling suggests a little higher. If it does organize with winds over 39 mph, it would be named Claudette. For now it is labeled Invest 92L.

Below is a look at the satellite loop animation,  latest images, and forecast (intensity and tracks), which show this continuing to move away to the northeast.  What might be important is that if this system does intensify, it could help reinforce the upper level pattern keeping a trough with cool and damp weather along the east coast longer. I’ll have more on that later.

Water Vapor Satellite Loop


Tropical Posts: Hurricane Info

2015 Atlantic Storm Names and Forecast

History of naming Tropical Storms and Hurricanes

Tropical Storm Formation: Origin Maps For Each 10 Days Of Season, Video

 

Satellite Images: Invest 92L


Forecasts:

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